2018-2022年影响热带气旋强度变化的内部过程研究进展

IF 2.4 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Tropical Cyclone Research and Review Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI:10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.001
Xiaomin Chen , Christopher M. Rozoff , Robert F. Rogers , Kristen L. Corbosiero , Dandan Tao , Jian-Feng Gu , Falko Judt , Eric A. Hendricks , Yuqing Wang , Michael M. Bell , Daniel P. Stern , Kate D. Musgrave , John A. Knaff , John Kaplan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这篇文章总结了WMO第十届热带气旋国际研讨会(IWTC-10)在2018-2022年期间与内部热带气旋强度变化过程相关的各种主题领域取得的重大进展。这些主题领域包括表面层和边界层过程;TC内部结构和微观物理过程;以及与TC的辐射相互作用。最近的研究更好地确定了高风速下表面阻力系数和焓系数的不确定性。这些参数极大地影响TC强度,因此对这些边界层参数进行更直接的测量是重要的。在TC边界层方面取得了特别重大的科学进展。这些进步是通过改进的耦合模型、大涡模拟、理论进步和详细观测实现的。现在很清楚,研究领域需要更好地表示整个边界层深度的涡流粘度。此外,详细研究TC边界层中的相干结构可能是研究界的一个有利方向。与此同时,深入的观测活动和勤奋的数据分析在验证与TC涡旋排列、有效潜热分布和整体三维结构相关的强化过程的理论和建模研究方面取得了重大进展。为了更好地理解辐射过程在TC演变和强度变化中所起的复杂作用,也做出了大量努力。最后,在TC强化的时间依赖性理论和内部TC强度变化的可预测性方面取得了一些有希望的进展。总的来说,在理解TC系统固有的强度变化过程方面取得了可喜的进展,但这一过程还没有完成。本文重点介绍了一些最相关和最重要的研究领域,这些领域仍在为控制TC强度变化的内部因素提供新的线索。
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Research advances on internal processes affecting tropical cyclone intensity change from 2018–2022

This contribution summarizes the significant progress in a variety of topic areas related to internal tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change processes over 20182022 from the WMO Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10). These topic areas include surface and boundary layer processes; TC internal structure and microphysical processes; and, radiation interactions with TCs. Recent studies better frame the uncertainty in the surface drag and enthalpy coefficients at high wind speeds. These parameters greatly impact TC intensity and it is therefore important that more direct measurements of these boundary layer parameters are made. Particularly significant scientific strides have been made in TC boundary layers. These advancements have been achieved through improved coupled models, large-eddy simulations, theoretical advancements, and detailed observations. It is now clear that the research field needs to better represent the eddy viscosity throughout the depth of the boundary layer. Furthermore, detailed study of coherent structures in TC boundary layers will likely be a propitious direction for the research community. Meanwhile, in-depth observational field campaigns and assiduous data analysis have made significant headway into verifying theory and modeling studies of intensification processes related to TC vortex alignment, efficient latent heating distributions, and overall 3D structure. Substantial efforts have also been made to better understand the intricate roles radiative processes play in TC evolution and intensity change. Finally, some promising progress has been made in the development of time-dependent theories of TC intensification and the predictability of internal TC intensity change. Overall, there have been well-earned gains in the understanding of intensity change processes intrinsic to the TC system, but the journey is not complete. This paper highlights some of the most relevant and important research areas that are still shedding new light into internal factors governing TC intensity change.

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来源期刊
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
3.40%
发文量
184
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊介绍: Tropical Cyclone Research and Review is an international journal focusing on tropical cyclone monitoring, forecasting, and research as well as associated hydrological effects and disaster risk reduction. This journal is edited and published by the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee (TC) and the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of the China Meteorology Administration (STI/CMA). Contributions from all tropical cyclone basins are welcome. Scope of the journal includes: • Reviews of tropical cyclones exhibiting unusual characteristics or behavior or resulting in disastrous impacts on Typhoon Committee Members and other regional WMO bodies • Advances in applied and basic tropical cyclone research or technology to improve tropical cyclone forecasts and warnings • Basic theoretical studies of tropical cyclones • Event reports, compelling images, and topic review reports of tropical cyclones • Impacts, risk assessments, and risk management techniques related to tropical cyclones
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