技术部门的动态不对称连通性

Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Journal of Economic Asymmetries Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jeca.2022.e00287
Muneer M. Alshater , Huthaifa Alqaralleh , Rim El Khoury
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了全球IT行业中基于不对称、时间和频率的波动溢出。为此,我们引入了一种新的小波时变参数VAR(W-TVP-VAR)方法,结合(Barndorf-Nielsen et al.,2010)和(Baruník et al.,20162017)在不同频率下的非对称连通性来计算连通性。使用2016年1月15日至2022年6月24日期间,代表技术最先进国家的13个国家的IT部门的每日股价。实证结果表明,总波动率在市场之间缓慢传递,其影响持续20多天。这一结果也支持了不对称传导的存在,因为无论频率如何,下行溢出都主导着上行溢出。此外,时变溢出表明,在各个危机时期,尤其是在疫情期间,下行溢出占主导地位。基于时间和频率的溢出表明,在最近的新冠肺炎大流行危机期间,总体溢出增加,这主要是由短期驱动的,这表明恐慌决策和群体行为导致了极端的联系。这些发现有助于参与者和决策者。
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Dynamic asymmetric connectedness in technological sectors

This paper investigates the asymmetric, time, and frequency-based volatility spillovers in global IT industries. To this end, we introduce a new Wavelet-Time Varying Parameter-VAR (W-TVP-VAR) approach to compute connectedness combined with the asymmetrical connectedness of (Barndorff-Nielsen et al., 2010) and (Baruník et al., 2016, 2017) at different frequencies. Daily stock prices of the IT sector in thirteen countries representing the top technologically advanced countries ranging from January 15, 2016, until June 24, 2022, are used. The empirical results show that the aggregate volatility is slowly transmitted across markets with an effect lasting more than twenty days. The result also supports the presence of asymmetrical transmission as downside spillovers dominate upside spillovers, regardless of the frequency. Furthermore, the time-varying spillover shows the dominance of downside spillovers in various crisis periods, especially during the pandemic. The time and frequency-based spillover indicate that the overall spillover increased during the recent COVID-19 pandemic crisis period, which is mostly driven by the short-term, suggesting that panic decisions and herd behavior result in extreme connectedness. These findings are helpful to participants and policymakers.

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来源期刊
Journal of Economic Asymmetries
Journal of Economic Asymmetries Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
4.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
42
审稿时长
50 days
期刊最新文献
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