气候智能农业对家庭复原力和脆弱性的影响:以埃塞俄比亚中部裂谷为例

Hussien Ali, Mesfin Menza, Fitsum Hagos, Amare Haileslassie
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引用次数: 1

摘要

气候变化正在给小农户带来严重挑战,尤其是在撒哈拉以南非洲。这项研究的总体目标如下:(i)估计家庭复原力和脆弱性指数,(ii)确定解释这些指数的因素,(iii)研究气候智能农业(CSA)对家庭复原能力和脆弱性的影响,以及(iv)确定哪种CSA包在增强复原力和减少脆弱性方面表现更好。在这项研究中,使用三阶段比例抽样程序随机选择了来自埃塞俄比亚中部裂谷(CRV)的4个地区的278个农户和8个kebele。采用结构化和预测试调查问卷收集2020/21生产季的横断面数据。家庭复原力指数和脆弱性指数分别采用复原力指数、计量分析和指标方法进行估算。使用多项式内生转换回归来估计采用CSA做法对家庭恢复力和脆弱性的平均治疗效果。结果表明,牲畜饲养、土地面积、教育水平和粮食消费状况是解释复原力的主要因素,而家庭教育水平、牲畜饲养和获得信贷是解释脆弱性的主要因素。估计的ATEs表明,采用更多样化CSA套餐组合的家庭比未采用CSA套餐的家庭更有弹性,也不那么脆弱。土壤肥力管理和保护性农业实践的影响在提高复原力方面表现更好,而保护性农业和小规模灌溉在降低农村家庭在CRV中的脆弱性方面表现更好。因此,提高复原力和减少脆弱性需要通过多样化和提高农户收入、教育地位和畜牧业来扩大小农的CSA。
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Impact of climate smart agriculture on households’ resilience and vulnerability: An example from Central Rift Valley, Ethiopia

Climate change is causing serious challenges for smallholder farm households, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. The overarching objectives of this study are as follows: (i) to estimate household resilience and vulnerability indices, (ii) identify factors that explain these indices and (iii) to examine the impact of climate-smart agriculture (CSA) on households’ resilience and vulnerability, and (iv) to identify which CSA package performs better in enhancing resilience and reducing vulnerability. For this study, 278 farm households from 4 districts and 8 kebeles from the Central Rift Valley (CRV) of Ethiopia were randomly selected using a three-stage proportional to size sampling procedure. Cross-sectional data applying a structured and pretested survey questionnaire was collected for 2020/21 production season. Household resilience and vulnerability indices were estimated using resilience index and measurement analysis and indicators approaches, respectively. Multinomial endogenous switching regression was used to estimate the average treatment effects (ATEs) of the adoption of CSA practices on households’ resilience and vulnerability. The results show that livestock holding, land size, level of education, and state of food consumption are major explaining factors of resilience, whereas educational level of households, livestock holding, and access to credit are found to be major factors explaining vulnerability. The estimated ATEs indicate that households which adopted more diversified combinations of CSA packages were more resilient and less vulnerable than non-adopter households. The impacts of soil fertility management and conservation agriculture practices have better performance in improving resilience, whereas conservation agriculture and small-scale irrigation performed better in reducing the vulnerability of rural households in CRV. Boosting resilience and reducing vulnerability, hence, requires scaling up CSA among smallholder farmers by diversifying and raising farm households’ income, educational status, and livestock holding.

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