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Modeling the Impacts of Self-Sufficiency Scenarios on Norwegian National Nutrient Supply 模拟自给自足情景对挪威国家营养供应的影响
Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70032
Raquel Lozano, Nick William Smith, Katrine Lekang, Warren Charles McNabb

As a part of the Norwegian strategy to meet the commitments they have made through international climate agreements with associated climate targets, the Norwegian Environmental Agency has proposed adjustments in Norwegian food production, creating implications for domestic food supply. More specifically, the proposed measures include reductions in domestic ruminant production systems. Mathematical modeling assessed four scenarios, which demonstrated the importance of modeling nutritional impacts, by providing the nutrient supply outcomes of reducing or eliminating ruminant meat, pork, and dairy production. The results show potential vulnerabilities in the system under these scenarios, particularly to meet domestic demand for these products and specific nutrient needs. While nutrient reliance on imported ruminant meat and pork is currently low, increasing self-sufficiency in plant-based foods, protein, energy, and fat is a concurrent goal from the Norwegian government. Further, our results demonstrate that meat contributes significantly in terms of self-sufficiency for several nutrients. These findings offer insights into the broader impacts of environmentally focused policy changes on the food system. By seeking a balance between environmental sustainability and nutrient adequacy, this study highlights the need to consider the effects of environmental goals on nutritional needs when reshaping national food systems.

作为挪威战略的一部分,挪威通过国际气候协议与相关气候目标达成承诺,挪威环境署已提议调整挪威粮食生产,这对国内粮食供应产生了影响。更具体地说,拟议的措施包括减少国内反刍动物生产系统。数学模型评估了四种情景,通过提供减少或消除反刍动物肉类、猪肉和乳制品生产的营养供应结果,证明了模拟营养影响的重要性。结果表明,在这些情景下,该系统存在潜在的脆弱性,特别是在满足国内对这些产品的需求和特定营养需求方面。虽然目前对进口反刍动物肉和猪肉的营养依赖程度较低,但提高植物性食品、蛋白质、能量和脂肪的自给自足是挪威政府的一个共同目标。此外,我们的研究结果表明,肉类在一些营养素的自给自足方面贡献显著。这些发现为关注环境的政策变化对粮食系统的更广泛影响提供了见解。通过在环境可持续性和营养充足性之间寻求平衡,本研究强调,在重塑国家粮食系统时,需要考虑环境目标对营养需求的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Professional Engagement With Climate Change Among Five Communities of Practice in Virginia, USA: An Exploratory Study 美国维吉尼亚州五个实践社区对气候变化的专业参与:一项探索性研究
Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70029
Teresa Myers, Em Kohl, Doran Tucker, John Kotcher, Edward Maibach

Municipalities across the United States and the world face profound climate adaptation and mitigation challenges. To assess current engagement and future potential of various professional communities to communicate about and contribute to such efforts, we conducted 56 in-depth interviews with members of five communities of practice (elected officials, environmental advocates, emergency management planners, firefighters, and regional planning officials)—sampled from Virginia's six climatic regions. We selected these communities of practice for their potential to partner with Virginia's public universities in communicating climate change risk information to hard-to-reach members of their city, county, or region. Interviews focused on participants’ views about how climate change was affecting their jobs, if at all, how they were responding and/or would like to respond, and their perceived responsibility for communicating climate change to the public. We conclude that firefighters, and to a lesser degree, emergency management planners, are particularly well suited as strategic climate communication partners.

美国和世界各地的市政当局都面临着深刻的气候适应和减缓挑战。为了评估各种专业团体在沟通和促进这些努力方面的当前参与和未来潜力,我们对五个实践社区的成员(民选官员、环保倡导者、应急管理规划者、消防员和地区规划官员)进行了56次深度访谈,这些社区来自弗吉尼亚州的六个气候区。我们选择了这些实践社区,因为它们有潜力与弗吉尼亚州的公立大学合作,将气候变化风险信息传达给他们所在城市、县或地区难以接触的成员。访谈的重点是参与者对气候变化如何影响他们的工作的看法,如果有的话,他们如何应对和/或想要应对,以及他们认为向公众传达气候变化的责任。我们的结论是,消防员,以及在较小程度上,应急管理规划人员,特别适合作为战略气候沟通伙伴。
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引用次数: 0
Climate Change Risks and Climate Adaptation in Agro-Processing Enterprises 农产品加工企业的气候变化风险与气候适应
Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70030
Adrino Mazenda, Ajuruchukwu Obi, Maggie Kisaka-Lwayo, Michael Antwi

While climate change research has focused mainly on primary agriculture, evidence shows that Agro-processing enterprises also face climate risks affecting resource availability and use. Using Partial Least Squares-Structural Equation Modelling (PLS-SEM), this study analysed how socio-demographic factors (sex, age, marital status, education, and training) influence participation in agro-enterprises and climate adaptation strategies among 113 agro-processing enterprises in Gauteng, South Africa. Results show that direct participation in Agro-processing does not significantly predict adaptation (β = 0.025), indicating profit-driven rather than resilience-oriented engagement. Education significantly enhances participation in Agro-processing (β = 0.325, 95% CI = [0.196, 0.457]) and adaptation (β = 0.325, 95% CI = [0.168, 0.477]), with a positive indirect effect (β = 0.106, 95% CI = [0.049, 0.173]). Sex negatively predicts participation (β = –0.181), showing higher female involvement, while other variables were insignificant. Policy interventions should integrate climate education, targeted training, and capacity-building initiatives to strengthen resilience among Agro-processing enterprises.

虽然气候变化研究主要集中在初级农业,但有证据表明,农产品加工企业也面临影响资源可得性和利用的气候风险。本研究利用偏最小二乘-结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)分析了社会人口因素(性别、年龄、婚姻状况、教育和培训)对南非豪登省113家农产品加工企业参与农业企业和气候适应战略的影响。结果表明,直接参与农产品加工并不显著预测适应(β = 0.025),表明利润驱动而非弹性导向的参与。教育显著提高了农业加工的参与(β = 0.325, 95% CI =[0.196, 0.457])和适应(β = 0.325, 95% CI =[0.168, 0.477]),并具有积极的间接效应(β = 0.106, 95% CI =[0.049, 0.173])。性别负向预测参与率(β = -0.181),表明女性参与率较高,而其他变量不显著。政策干预应结合气候教育、有针对性的培训和能力建设举措,以增强农产品加工企业的抵御能力。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Household Adaptation to Climate Vulnerability in Wetland Areas of Bangladesh: An Empirical Estimation 孟加拉国湿地地区家庭对气候脆弱性适应的决定因素:经验估计
Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70028
Farhana Yasmin Bithi, Fahmida Akthar Roni, Jasim Uddin Ahmed, Md. Shah Alamgir, Arifa Jannat, S. M. Shahriar, Md. Monirul Islam

This study examines the vulnerability of farming households to climate change and the determinants of their adaptation decisions in the wetland areas of Bangladesh. Primary data from 120 households were analysed using descriptive statistics, the livelihood vulnerability index (LVI), the LVI based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (LVI-IPCC) framework and a Binary Logistic regression model. The overall LVI score (0.53) and the LVI-IPCC score (0.18) indicate moderate vulnerability, driven mainly by livelihood dependence on natural resources, climate variability and health-related challenges. The Binary Logistic regression results show that family size, access to alternative income sources, perceptions of climate change and access to loans significantly influence households’ adaptation behaviour. The findings underscore the need for policies that strengthen education and skills, expand financial access and promote climate-resilient livelihoods and infrastructure to enhance the adaptive capacity of wetland farming communities in Bangladesh.

本研究考察了孟加拉国湿地地区农户对气候变化的脆弱性及其适应决策的决定因素。采用描述性统计、生计脆弱性指数(LVI)、基于政府间气候变化专门委员会(LVI- ipcc)框架的生计脆弱性指数(LVI)和二元Logistic回归模型对120户家庭的原始数据进行分析。总体LVI得分(0.53)和LVI- ipcc得分(0.18)表明中等脆弱性,主要受生计对自然资源的依赖、气候变率和健康相关挑战的驱动。二元Logistic回归结果显示,家庭规模、获得替代收入来源、对气候变化的认知和获得贷款显著影响家庭的适应行为。研究结果强调,需要制定政策,加强教育和技能,扩大融资渠道,促进气候适应型生计和基础设施,以增强孟加拉国湿地农业社区的适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
Impact Assessment of the Implementation of Sustainability Practices on the Competitiveness of Moroccan Companies: Insights From the (Enterprise Surveys) 实施可持续性实践对摩洛哥公司竞争力的影响评估:来自(企业调查)的见解
Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70027
Otman Chahbi, Mohamed Belafhaili, Taoufik Benkaraache, Imane Rabhi

This study examines how sustainability practices affect the external competitiveness of Moroccan manufacturing firms. Drawing on stakeholder theory, the resource-based view, and institutional theory, sustainability is operationalized through two indicators from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys (2019, 2023): renewable energy adoption and participation in the National Sustainable Development Strategy (NSDS). Competitiveness is measured by firms’ export orientation. Using propensity score matching (PSM), the analysis verifies both the Conditional Independence and Common Support assumptions, and tests robustness through covariate balance, alternative matching methods, and Rosenbaum bounds. Results show that sustainability adoption significantly increases the probability of exporting, though effects vary by sector: +18 percentage points in textiles, +6.7 in agro-food, and +10.4 in other industries, with NSDS participation reinforcing competitiveness to a lesser extent. These findings suggest that sustainability enhances competitiveness but in a sector-specific manner, calling for differentiated managerial strategies and targeted public policies. Limitations include the cross-sectional nature of the data and reliance on self-reported firm surveys.

本研究考察了可持续性实践如何影响摩洛哥制造企业的外部竞争力。根据利益相关者理论、资源基础观点和制度理论,可持续性通过世界银行企业调查(2019年、2023年)中的两个指标来实施:可再生能源的采用和国家可持续发展战略(NSDS)的参与。竞争力是通过企业的出口导向来衡量的。使用倾向得分匹配(PSM),分析验证了条件独立性和共同支持假设,并通过协变量平衡、替代匹配方法和Rosenbaum边界检验了稳健性。结果表明,采用可持续性显著提高了出口的可能性,尽管影响因行业而异:纺织品+18个百分点,农用食品+6.7个百分点,其他行业+10.4个百分点,而参与NSDS在较小程度上增强了竞争力。这些研究结果表明,可持续性提高了竞争力,但是以特定部门的方式提高的,需要有区别的管理战略和有针对性的公共政策。局限性包括数据的横断面性质和对自我报告的公司调查的依赖。
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引用次数: 0
Climate Change and Economic Sustainability: Empirical Evidence on the Dynamics of Adjusted Net Savings in Benin's Regions 气候变化与经济可持续性:贝宁地区调整后净储蓄动态的经验证据
Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70026
Christian Duhamel Logozo, Vihoutou Médjikouê Marthe Kougblenou Menou

The economic sustainability of territories is a key issue in ensuring the well-being of future generations. In accordance with the neoclassical theoretical approach, this article analyzes the dynamics of adjusted net savings (ANSs) in Benin's regions in the face of the effects of climate change. On the basis of data from the National Local Finance Commission covering the period 2010–2019, the estimates are based on a GMM-system model and a quantile regression using the method of moments. The results reveal that a moderate positive variation in precipitation differences improves ANSs. However, this effect diminishes beyond a critical threshold of 110 mm for precipitation variations and 1290.867 mm for average precipitation, leading to a deterioration in ANSs of 10.80 points on average. On the other hand, global warming has no significant effect on this dynamic. These results show that extreme precipitation compromises the economic sustainability of Benin's regions. They highlight the need to set up a local hydrometeorological warning system based on critical intervention thresholds, as well as awareness campaigns for the preservation and rational use of natural resources.

领土的经济可持续性是确保子孙后代福祉的一个关键问题。根据新古典理论方法,本文分析了面对气候变化影响的贝宁地区调整后净储蓄(ANSs)的动态。本文基于国家地方财政委员会2010-2019年的数据,采用gmm系统模型和矩量法进行分位数回归。结果表明,降水差的适度正变化改善了ANSs。但是,在降水变化和平均降水分别超过110 mm和1290.867 mm的临界值后,这种影响减弱,导致ANSs平均恶化10.80点。另一方面,全球变暖对这一动态没有显著影响。这些结果表明,极端降水损害了贝宁地区的经济可持续性。他们强调需要建立一个以关键干预阈值为基础的地方水文气象预警系统,以及开展保护和合理利用自然资源的宣传运动。
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引用次数: 0
The State of Climate Resilience and Water Governance in the City of Toronto: Advancing Adaptation at the Climate–Water Interface Through Baseline Assessment Research 多伦多市气候恢复力和水治理现状:通过基线评估研究推进气候-水界面适应
Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70025
Yena Bassone-Quashie, Carolyn Johns

The City of Toronto is Canada's largest city and the fourth largest in North America. In the last two decades, it has experienced significant climate-related water issues, which have resulted in significant local flooding, decreasing water quality, and increasing climate change awareness. Similar to other jurisdictions across the world, the city has undertaken many climate resilience-building efforts and actions across multiple areas. This article undertakes a review of current climate resilience actions and efforts in the city, focusing on the areas of climate science and modeling, climate and water policies, city governance, and community responses to water-related climate hazards. The article develops and applies a new Community Climate Resilience Assessment Framework (CCRAF) to assess the research findings and evaluate the baseline state of climate change resilience in the city, particularly related to water governance challenges. Using the City of Toronto as an illustrative case study, this article demonstrates the importance of establishing a strong understanding of the current community, governance, and institutional contexts, as a means of identifying opportunities to increase climate and community resilience in cities. The results from the application of the CCRAF indicate current areas of strength in city resilience-building efforts include its focus on emissions mitigation, numerous climate and community initiatives, resident support programs, and incentives. Potential areas for improvement include integrating fragmented governance structures, building capacity and designating resource allocations for climate–water resilience efforts, and enhancing engagement of marginalized groups at the climate–water interface. On the basis of these findings, the article highlights the importance of and need for additional focus on climate–water adaptation, deepening community engagement of diverse perspectives, and centering Indigenous knowledges and perspectives to support governance innovations and increase overall climate resilience. The article also outlines the importance of baseline research and how this new framework can be applied in other communities and transboundary regions in Canada and beyond.

多伦多市是加拿大最大的城市,也是北美第四大城市。在过去的二十年里,它经历了与气候相关的重大水问题,导致了严重的局部洪水,水质下降,并提高了对气候变化的认识。与世界上其他司法管辖区类似,该市在多个领域开展了许多气候适应能力建设工作和行动。本文回顾了当前城市的气候适应行动和努力,重点关注气候科学和建模、气候和水政策、城市治理以及社区对与水有关的气候灾害的响应。本文开发并应用了一个新的社区气候适应能力评估框架(CCRAF)来评估研究成果,并评估城市气候变化适应能力的基线状态,特别是与水治理挑战相关的状态。本文以多伦多市为例,展示了建立对当前社区、治理和制度背景的深刻理解的重要性,这是确定城市气候和社区恢复力机会的一种手段。CCRAF应用的结果表明,当前城市韧性建设工作的优势领域包括其对减排的关注、众多气候和社区倡议、居民支持计划和激励措施。潜在的改进领域包括整合分散的治理结构、能力建设和为气候-水韧性工作指定资源分配,以及加强边缘化群体在气候-水界面的参与。在这些发现的基础上,本文强调了进一步关注气候-水适应的重要性和必要性,深化不同观点的社区参与,并以土著知识和观点为中心,以支持治理创新和提高整体气候适应能力。文章还概述了基线研究的重要性,以及如何将这一新框架应用于加拿大及其他地区的其他社区和跨界地区。
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引用次数: 0
Building Climate-Resilient Healthcare in Tanzania: Strengthening Infrastructure, Sustainability and Policy for Inclusive Health Security 在坦桑尼亚建设适应气候变化的医疗保健:加强基础设施、可持续性和包容性卫生安全政策
Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70024
Samwel Manyele, Honest Anicetus

This study assesses Tanzanian healthcare facilities’ vulnerability to climate change and evaluates adaptation strategies for resilient health systems. Using mixed methods, it identifies major risks—floods, heatwaves and droughts—linked to weak infrastructure, poor WASH and unreliable energy. Retrofitting reduced disruptions by 50%–80% and was 60% more cost-effective than rebuilding. Renewable energy and sustainable procurement lowered costs and emissions, though finance, expertise and enforcement remain barriers. Strengthening retrofitting, WASH, energy integration and partnerships is recommended.

本研究评估了坦桑尼亚卫生保健设施对气候变化的脆弱性,并评估了弹性卫生系统的适应战略。通过使用混合方法,它确定了与基础设施薄弱、讲卫生工作薄弱和能源不可靠相关的主要风险——洪水、热浪和干旱。改造减少了50%-80%的中断,比重建成本效益高60%。可再生能源和可持续采购降低了成本和排放,但资金、专业知识和执行方面仍然存在障碍。建议加强改造、讲卫生、能源整合和伙伴关系。
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引用次数: 0
Embracing Resilience: Ageing, Disability, and Disasters in Zimbabwe—A Case of Cyclone Idai 拥抱韧性:津巴布韦的老龄化、残疾和灾害——以伊代飓风为例
Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70020
Fortune Mangara, Nirmala Dorasamy, Rumbidzai Wendy Muzangaza

The impacts of disasters and climate change have been particularly devastating for vulnerable and marginalised communities. This study explores the resilience of ageing individuals, persons with disabilities, and people living with HIV during and after Cyclone Idai in Zimbabwe. The cyclone, which struck in March 2019, was one of the most destructive in the Southern Hemisphere, causing widespread destruction and loss of life. It exposed critical vulnerabilities among marginalised populations, including disrupted access to healthcare, mobility barriers, and increased health risks. These groups often struggle to access essential medication and adapt to altered environments in the aftermath of disasters. Using a case study of Manicaland Province, this research highlights the specific challenges faced by these populations and underscores the importance of inclusive disaster preparedness and response strategies. The study amplifies the voices of those often overlooked in disaster risk narratives and contributes to a broader understanding of resilience in the context of climate-related crises. As climate change intensifies, it is vital to design adaptive and equitable frameworks that address the unique needs of marginalised groups to build sustainable and resilient communities.

灾害和气候变化对脆弱和边缘化社区的影响尤其严重。本研究探讨了津巴布韦“伊代”气旋期间和之后老年人、残疾人和艾滋病毒感染者的复原力。该气旋于2019年3月袭击,是南半球最具破坏性的气旋之一,造成了广泛的破坏和生命损失。它暴露了边缘化人群的严重脆弱性,包括获得医疗保健的机会中断、流动障碍和健康风险增加。这些群体往往难以获得基本药物,并在灾难发生后适应变化的环境。本研究以马尼托巴省为例,强调了这些人口面临的具体挑战,并强调了包容性备灾和应对战略的重要性。这项研究放大了那些在灾害风险叙述中经常被忽视的人的声音,有助于更广泛地了解气候相关危机背景下的复原力。随着气候变化加剧,设计适应和公平的框架,解决边缘化群体的独特需求,以建设可持续和有复原力的社区至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Climate Change Adaptation in the Upper East Region of Ghana: Assessing Government Policies in Water Conservation and Dry Season Irrigation Farming 加纳上东部地区适应气候变化:评估政府在节水和旱季灌溉农业方面的政策
Pub Date : 2025-11-12 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70023
John Aloba Atubiga, Emmanuel Amankwah, Paul Kofi Nsiah

Climate change adaptation has become a topical issue in global discourse in recent times due to its potential impact on food and water security. Mitigating the impact of climate change and building resilience of vulnerable farmers to adapt effectively have drawn the attention of international, regional, and national policy-making. This study investigates climate change adaptation in the Upper East Region, assessing government policies in water conservation and dry season irrigation to promote food security. The study adopted a case study design from which eight communities were selected from four administrative districts in the Sudan agro-ecological zone. Both primary and secondary data were collected. The instruments used for the primary data collection included focus group discussions and Key Informant Interviews, while the secondary data was obtained from key government institutions such as the Ghana Irrigation Development Authority (GIDA), the Ministry of Food and Agriculture (MOFA), and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). The data was analyzed using content analysis. The findings of the study indicate that several policies exist in the country to deal with the impact of climate change. However, the implementation of these policies at the local levels was marred by challenges such as credit, sociocultural practices, and inadequate dissemination of climate information. The study recommends that in order to adapt to climate change, reduce rural poverty, and promote food security, investments should be geared towards promoting water conservation for dry-season irrigation farming. This would bring about diversification of the rural economy and sustain livelihoods.

气候变化适应由于其对粮食和水安全的潜在影响,近年来已成为全球话语中的热门话题。减轻气候变化的影响,增强脆弱农民的抵御能力,使其有效适应气候变化,已引起国际、区域和国家决策部门的关注。本研究调查了上东部地区的气候变化适应情况,评估了政府在节水和旱季灌溉方面的政策,以促进粮食安全。该研究采用了案例研究设计,从苏丹农业生态区的四个行政区中选择了八个社区。收集了主要和次要数据。用于主要数据收集的工具包括焦点小组讨论和关键信息提供者访谈,而次要数据是从加纳灌溉发展局(GIDA)、粮食和农业部(MOFA)和环境保护局(EPA)等关键政府机构获得的。采用内容分析法对数据进行分析。这项研究的结果表明,该国存在一些政策来应对气候变化的影响。然而,这些政策在地方层面的实施受到了诸如信贷、社会文化习俗和气候信息传播不足等挑战的影响。该研究建议,为了适应气候变化、减少农村贫困和促进粮食安全,投资应该面向促进旱季灌溉农业的节水。这将使农村经济多样化并维持生计。
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引用次数: 0
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