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A call for action: Insights from the pre-COP28 scholarly discourse and beyond the operationalization of the Loss and Damage Fund 行动呼吁:从COP28会议前的学术讨论中获得的启示以及损失和损害基金的可操作性之外的启示
Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70001
Dorcas Stella Shumba

This paper conducts a semisystematic literature review from 2021 to 2023, focusing on loss and damage (L&D). Drawing upon the works of various scholars, it synthesizes critical concerns raised in the literature and assesses whether these concerns were addressed by the Transitional Committee's report on the operationalization of the new funding arrangements for responding to loss and damage, as outlined in COP 28 decisions 1/CP.28 and 5/CMA.5. By analyzing scholarly discussions on L&D leading up to COP 28, the study gauges the extent to which academic concerns have been addressed and identifies areas requiring improvement for better management of climate change-induced L&D effects. The findings provide valuable insights for ongoing deliberations on the Loss and Damage Fund (LDF), offering guidance for policymakers as they address these challenges. Additionally, the paper informs future policy directions to ensure responsiveness to the needs of communities affected by climate change-induced L&D. Lastly, the study contributes to ongoing scholarly dialogues by laying the groundwork for future research endeavors in this critical area.

本文对 2021 年至 2023 年期间的文献进行了半系统审查,重点是损失和损害(L&D)。本文借鉴了不同学者的作品,综合了文献中提出的关键问题,并评估了过渡委员会关于应对损失和损害的新供资安排的运作报告是否解决了这些问题,如缔约方大会第28届会议第1/CP.28号决定和第5/CMA.5号决定所述。通过分析缔约方大会第二十八届会议之前有关损失和损害的学术讨论,本研究报告衡量了学术界关注的问题在多大程度上得到了解决,并确定了需要改进的领域,以便更好地管理气候变化引起的损失和损害。研究结果为当前有关损失和损害基金(LDF)的讨论提供了宝贵的见解,为决策者应对这些挑战提供了指导。此外,本文还为未来的政策方向提供了参考,以确保对受气候变化引起的 L&D 影响的社区的需求做出响应。最后,本研究为这一关键领域的未来研究工作奠定了基础,从而为正在进行的学术对话做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
The changing geography of wine climates and its implications on adaptation in the Italian Alps 意大利阿尔卑斯山葡萄酒气候的地理变化及其对适应性的影响
Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70000
Simon Tscholl, Lukas Egarter Vigl

Wine production and quality both strongly depend on suitable climatic conditions. Increasing the climate resilience of wine regions is therefore of critical importance but requires instruments to evaluate shifts in climatic conditions and growing suitability. This evaluation is particularly challenging in mountain viticultural areas due to their complex topoclimatic patterns, yet they offer the possibility to analyze climate change impacts and adaptation strategies across various climatic conditions and cultivated varieties. Here, we assessed historical and future bioclimatic conditions and identified effective adaptation strategies toward more sustainable and climate-resilient wine production in the mountain winegrowing regions within South Tyrol in the Italian Alps. We found significant changes in climatic conditions under future scenarios, such as an increase in the Huglin index (HI) and cool night index (CNI) as well as a decreased dryness index (DI), causing an expansion of suitable areas for viticulture as well as a spread of unprecedented climatic conditions in traditional vineyards. Impacts and suitable adaptation options varied depending on climate type and grape variety, highlighting the need for targeted solutions that balance the need for high-quality wine production with environmental protection and sustainability. Higher elevated areas over 1000 m a.s.l. will experience an increased suitability raising the need for restrictions regarding the expansion of vineyards to avoid degradation of natural ecosystems and biodiversity declines. In contrast, many traditional winegrowing areas will need to implement a combination of short- and long-term adaptation measures to maintain traditional wine styles. Our findings provide a framework for the assessment of viticultural suitability and the formulation of appropriate adaptation strategies for the sustainable cultivation of wine grapes in a changing climate that applies to a variety of climates and grape varieties.

葡萄酒的产量和质量在很大程度上都取决于适宜的气候条件。因此,提高葡萄酒产区的气候适应能力至关重要,但这需要对气候条件和种植适宜性的变化进行评估。在山区葡萄栽培地区,由于其复杂的地形气候模式,这种评估尤其具有挑战性,但它们为分析气候变化对不同气候条件和栽培品种的影响和适应策略提供了可能性。在此,我们对意大利阿尔卑斯山南蒂罗尔地区的山区葡萄种植区的历史和未来生物气候条件进行了评估,并确定了有效的适应策略,以提高葡萄酒生产的可持续性和气候适应能力。我们发现,在未来情景下,气候条件会发生重大变化,如雨林指数(HI)和夜间凉爽指数(CNI)上升以及干燥指数(DI)下降,从而导致葡萄栽培适宜区扩大,传统葡萄园中前所未有的气候条件蔓延。不同的气候类型和葡萄品种所造成的影响和适合的适应方案也不尽相同,这突出表明需要有针对性的解决方案,在高品质葡萄酒生产需求与环境保护和可持续性之间取得平衡。海拔 1000 米以上的高海拔地区的适宜性会增加,因此需要限制葡萄园的扩张,以避免自然生态系统退化和生物多样性减少。与此相反,许多传统葡萄种植区需要采取短期和长期相结合的适应措施,以保持传统的葡萄酒风格。我们的研究结果为评估葡萄栽培适宜性和制定适当的适应战略提供了一个框架,以便在不断变化的气候条件下可持续地种植酿酒葡萄,该框架适用于各种气候条件和葡萄品种。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptive capacity of winter wheat to potential drought in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region under RCP8.5 scenario RCP8.5 情景下京津冀地区冬小麦对潜在干旱的适应能力
Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.65
Guo Ying, Fen Ma, Li Yingchun, Wang Heran, Peng Zhengping, Ge Lianxing

Drought is more frequent and intensified due to global warming. Changed conditions in Beijing-Tianjin–Hebei region which is drier and warmer than before, make it necessary to investigate various optimized irrigation schemes in the winter wheat production. In this study, the DSSAT–CERES-Wheat model verified by field experimental data was applied to simulate the yield of winter wheat in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region from 2010 to 2069a under RCP8.5 climate scenario. The irrigation schemes were set up by adjusting the irrigation amount and irrigation structure to evaluate their adaptive capacity to climate change. The results showed that the regional average yield reduction rates of potential drought were 81.98% and 78.86% in 2010–2039a and 2040–2069a, which were higher in the north than that in the south. The yield reduction rate of potential drought increased with the decrease of irrigation amount, and the adaptive capacity declined with the decrease of irrigation amount, under the same irrigation structure. When 3-9-6 irrigation structure was applied, the regional averages of adaptive capacity to potential drought were 28.30%, 26.23%, and 22.22% in 2010–2039a, 29.00%, 26.67%, and 21.76% in 2040–2069a. The shortage of water resources caused by climate change and the possibility of drought limit the potential yield of winter wheat as high as 80% in this region. Priority shall be given to meeting the water demand in jointing stage and filling stage. Irrigation scheme of 3-9-6 structure with 180 mm irrigation amount shall be recommended and its adaptive capacity to climate change is the strongest in the near term and the medium-term. Even if a further 20% reduction in irrigation is applied (144 mm), the dual goals of reducing yield loss and saving 8.28 × 108 t irrigation water per winter wheat season can be achieved.

由于全球变暖,干旱更加频繁和加剧。京津冀地区的气候条件发生了变化,比以前更加干燥和温暖,因此有必要研究冬小麦生产中的各种优化灌溉方案。本研究应用经田间试验数据验证的 DSSAT-CERES-Wheat 模型模拟了 RCP8.5 气候情景下京津冀地区 2010 年至 2069 年a 的冬小麦产量。通过调整灌溉量和灌溉结构设置灌溉方案,评价其对气候变化的适应能力。结果表明,2010-2039a年和2040-2069a年区域平均潜在干旱减产率分别为81.98%和78.86%,北部高于南部。在相同灌溉结构下,潜在干旱减产率随灌溉量减少而增加,适应能力随灌溉量减少而下降。当采用 3-9-6 灌溉结构时,2010-2039a、2040-2069a 和 2040-2069a 的潜在干旱适应能力区域平均值分别为 28.30%、26.23%和 22.22%,2040-2069a、2040-2069a 和 2040-2069a 的潜在干旱适应能力区域平均值分别为 29.00%、26.67%和 21.76%。气候变化造成的水资源短缺和可能发生的干旱限制了该地区高达 80% 的冬小麦潜在产量。应优先满足拔节期和灌浆期的用水需求。建议采用 180 毫米灌水量的 3-9-6 结构灌溉方案,该方案在近期和中期对气候变化的适应能力最强。即使灌水量再减少 20%(144 毫米),也可实现冬小麦每季减少产量损失和节约灌溉用水 8.28×108 吨的双重目标。
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引用次数: 0
Barriers confronting smallholder cassava farmers in the adoption and utilization of climate-smart agriculture in the Afigya Kwabre South District, Ghana 加纳 Afigya Kwabre 南区小农户在采用和利用气候智能型农业方面面临的障碍
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.77
Frank Baffour-Ata, Louisa Boakye, Lordina Ekua Acquah, Samuel Boamah Brown, John Dagadu Kafui, Austin Appiah Marfo, Prince Acheampong, Salome Wheagar

Climate-smart agriculture (CSA) is key to addressing climate change threats faced by smallholder farmers in Ghana. Nonetheless, evidence of the barriers challenging smallholder farmers in the implementation of CSA practices remains limited in Ghana. This study, therefore, investigated the barriers opposing smallholder cassava farmers in implementing CSA practices in the Afigya Kwabre South District, Ghana. The study used descriptive statistics and content analysis to analyze primary data collected through 200 household surveys and 10 key informant interviews from four selected communities (Aboabogya, Aduamoa, Aduman Old Town, and Aduman New Town) in the district. Results revealed that the smallholder cassava farmers implemented key CSA practices including mulching (89%), mixed farming (86%), crop diversification (84%), and crop rotation (81%) to build their resilience in food systems. Furthermore, the results showed that the critical enablers to the farmers’ utilization of CSA practices were access to weather and climate services (82%), a secured land tenure system (75%), and knowledge of the effects of climate change (68%). Also, the results indicated that the key barriers challenging smallholder cassava farmers in the implementation of CSA practices were inadequate technological assistance (91%), the incidence of pests and diseases (90%), and a lack of knowledge and understanding of CSA (90%). We recommend that smallholder cassava farmers adopt improved varieties of cassava that are resistant to pests and diseases, drought tolerant, high yielding, and possessing desirable quality traits. Smallholder cassava farmers can also participate in contract farming schemes that link them to agribusinesses that can offer them access to quality inputs, credit, training, and guaranteed markets for their produce.

气候智能型农业(CSA)是加纳小农应对气候变化威胁的关键。然而,在加纳,有关小农在实施 CSA 实践中遇到的障碍的证据仍然有限。因此,本研究调查了加纳 Afigya Kwabre 南区小农在实施 CSA 实践中遇到的障碍。研究采用了描述性统计和内容分析法,对从该区四个选定社区(阿博阿博格亚、阿杜阿莫亚、阿杜曼老城和阿杜曼新城)收集的 200 份家庭调查和 10 份关键信息提供者访谈中收集的原始数据进行了分析。结果显示,小农户木薯种植者实施了关键的 CSA 实践,包括地膜覆盖(89%)、混合耕作(86%)、作物多样化(84%)和轮作(81%),以增强其在粮食系统中的抗灾能力。此外,研究结果表明,农民采用 CSA 实践的关键促进因素是获得天气和气候服务(82%)、有保障的土地使用权制度(75%)以及对气候变化影响的了解(68%)。此外,研究结果表明,小农木薯种植者在实施 CSA 实践中面临的主要障碍是技术援助不足(91%)、病虫害(90%)以及缺乏对 CSA 的认识和理解(90%)。我们建议木薯种植户采用抗病虫害、耐旱、高产且具有理想品质特征的木薯改良品种。小农户木薯种植者还可以参与合同种植计划,将他们与农业企业联系起来,这些企业可以为他们提供优质投入、信贷、培训和有保障的农产品市场。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing crop disease early warning in South Asia by complementing expert surveys with internet media scraping 通过互联网媒体搜索补充专家调查,推进南亚作物病害预警工作
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.78
Jacob W. Smith, Asif Al Faisal, David Hodson, Suraj Baidya, Madan Bhatta, Dhruba Thapa, Roshan Basnet, William Thurston, T. J. Krupnik, Christopher A. Gilligan

Wheat contributes one-fifth of the global food supply with an estimated 29% of global production in low and lower-middle income countries. As production expands across southern Asia, yields are often negatively impacted by outbreaks of fungal rust diseases. A wheat rust early warning and advisory system comprising surveillance, near real-time disease risk forecasts and advisory dissemination has been established in two target countries in South Asia, including Nepal and Bangladesh. However, as wheat rust spores can be aerially transmitted over long distances, near real-time estimates of disease incidence are required from sources of infection in neighbouring regions. To address this challenge, we developed and tested a novel algorithm to generate proxy observations of infection sources using online media reports in two neighbouring countries, India and Pakistan. Media sampling could provide an effective alternative where data from ground surveys are not readily available in near real-time. Our results show that west Nepal was exposed to a substantial inoculum pressure from aerially dispersed stripe rust spores originating from India and Pakistan. There were no outbreaks of stripe rust disease in Bangladesh with only very low levels of cross-border dispersion and generally unfavourable environmental conditions for infection. We further describe how proxy observations informed farmer decision-making in near real-time in Nepal and filled a knowledge gap in identifying early sources of infection for a major outbreak of stripe rust during 2020 in Nepal. Our results highlight the importance of international cooperation in mitigating transboundary plant pathogens.

小麦占全球粮食供应的五分之一,估计 29% 的全球产量来自低收入和中低收入国家。随着南亚地区产量的增加,真菌锈病的爆发常常对产量造成负面影响。在南亚的两个目标国家,包括尼泊尔和孟加拉国,已经建立了一个小麦锈病预警和咨询系统,该系统包括监测、近实时疾病风险预测和咨询发布。然而,由于小麦锈病孢子可以通过空气进行远距离传播,因此需要从邻近地区的传染源获得近实时的发病率估计。为了应对这一挑战,我们开发并测试了一种新型算法,利用印度和巴基斯坦这两个邻国的在线媒体报道生成感染源的替代观测值。在地面调查数据无法近实时获取的情况下,媒体采样可以提供一种有效的替代方法。我们的研究结果表明,尼泊尔西部受到了来自印度和巴基斯坦的条锈病孢子空中传播的巨大接种体压力。孟加拉国没有爆发条锈病,跨境扩散程度很低,感染的环境条件普遍不利。我们进一步介绍了代理观测如何为尼泊尔农民的决策提供近乎实时的信息,并填补了尼泊尔在 2020 年条锈病大爆发时确定早期感染源方面的知识空白。我们的研究结果凸显了国际合作在减轻跨境植物病原体影响方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Benefits and barriers to the adoption of climate-smart agriculture practices in West Africa: A systematic review 西非采用气候智能型农业做法的益处和障碍:系统回顾
Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.79
Thomas Peprah Agyekum, Philip Antwi-Agyei, Andrew J. Dougill, Lindsay C. Stringer

Climate-smart agriculture (CSA) serves as a credible mechanism to simultaneously address food security, climate change, and agricultural productivity. Despite the widespread adoption of CSA approaches across West Africa, many countries have still not been able to resolve the problems of food insecurity and rural poverty. This systematic review evaluates published evidence on the types of CSA practices, the determinants and benefits of adoption, and the barriers confronting the adoption of CSA practices across West Africa, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses statement checklist. Articles published in English from January 2010 to March 2023 investigating the benefits of and barriers to the adoption of CSA practices in West Africa were retrieved from ScienceDirect, Web of Science, and Scopus databases. The methodological quality of studies was assessed using Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tools for use in systematic reviews. The themes emerging from the articles were extracted, and a summary was provided to illustrate each theme. After applying the eligibility criteria, 12 articles were included in the final review. The studies reviewed revealed that farmers used more knowledge-, water-, carbon-, and nitrogen-smart practices, compared to weather- and energy-smart practices. Across the reviewed papers, factors such as the education level of farmers, age, gender, household size, membership of a social group, agricultural extension services, and access to credit/financial resources influenced CSA adoption. The reviewed studies identified that farmers who used CSA practices reported benefits such as improved soil fertility, higher yield, improved household income, climate resilience (such as overcoming the effects of drought and extreme temperatures), and food security. Some farmers adopted CSA practices to reduce the effect of droughts and high temperatures on their crops, and thus increase their resilience to climate variability and change. However, farmers’ adoption is confronted with challenges related to the technicality of some CSA practices, high cost of labor for CSA implementation, lack of credit and government support, limited access to weather and climate information, limited information about CSA options, high illiteracy level of smallholder farmers, and incompatibility of some practices with farmers’ crop of interest. Our findings show that most CSA practices in the studies we reviewed are not well targeted to meet farmers’ crop of interest, and that governments should provide more practical training to enhance farmers’ understanding of CSA practices, especially those related to weather- and energy-smart initiatives. There should also be more robust financial and institutional support to improve the adoption and usage of CSA practices at all levels. Additionally, socio-cultural factors such as values, customs, and beliefs should be properly integrated into CSA plans as they influen

气候智能型农业(CSA)是同时解决粮食安全、气候变化和农业生产力问题的可靠机制。尽管整个西非广泛采用了 CSA 方法,但许多国家仍无法解决粮食不安全和农村贫困问题。本系统性综述按照《系统性综述和元分析首选报告项目》声明核对表,对已发表的证据进行了评估,内容涉及 CSA 实践的类型、采用的决定因素和益处,以及在西非采用 CSA 实践所面临的障碍。从 ScienceDirect、Web of Science 和 Scopus 数据库中检索了 2010 年 1 月至 2023 年 3 月间发表的英文文章,这些文章调查了在西非采用 CSA 方法的益处和障碍。采用乔安娜-布里格斯研究所(Joanna Briggs Institute)用于系统综述的批判性评估工具对研究的方法学质量进行了评估。提取了文章中出现的主题,并对每个主题进行了总结说明。在应用了资格标准后,有 12 篇文章被纳入最终综述。所审查的研究表明,与天气和能源智能型实践相比,农民使用了更多的知识、水、碳和氮智能型实践。在所审查的论文中,农民的教育水平、年龄、性别、家庭规模、社会团体成员、农业推广服务以及获得信贷/金融资源的机会等因素都会影响 CSA 的采用。经审查的研究发现,采用 CSA 实践的农民报告的益处包括土壤肥力提高、产量增加、家庭收入增加、气候适应能力增强(如克服干旱和极端温度的影响)以及粮食安全。一些农民采用了 CSA 实践,以减少干旱和高温对作物的影响,从而提高对气候多变性和气候变化的适应能力。然而,农民在采用这些做法时也遇到了一些挑战,如某些 CSA 做法的技术性、实施 CSA 的劳动力成本高、缺乏信贷和政府支持、获取天气和气候信息的途径有限、有关 CSA 选择的信息有限、小农文盲率高以及某些做法与农民感兴趣的作物不相容等。我们的研究结果表明,在我们审查的研究中,大多数 CSA 实践并没有很好地针对农民感兴趣的作物,政府应提供更多实用培训,以提高农民对 CSA 实践的理解,尤其是那些与天气和能源智能举措相关的实践。此外,还应提供更有力的财政和制度支持,以便在各个层面更好地采纳和使用 CSA 实践。此外,价值观、习俗和信仰等社会文化因素也应适当纳入 CSA 计划,因为它们会影响 CSA 实践的采用。
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引用次数: 0
Mind the gap: The fissure between aspirations and actions in climate change governance at a local government level: A study of the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa 注意差距:地方政府在气候变化治理方面的愿望与行动之间的鸿沟:对南非东开普省的研究
Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.72
Siyaxola Ernest Gadu, Richard Kwame Adom, Mulala Danny Simatele

It is no longer a myth that climate change-related disasters are on the rise globally, with severe and devastating consequences in developing countries, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa, where many of the world's poor people reside. Thus, the emphasis on adaptation to climate change is no longer a choice or a deferred problem into the future, but rather an urgent matter of concern which must be considered a policy priority. As a response to retrogressive climate change challenges on social-economic development and environmental degradation, the government of South Africa has in the last two and half decades, embarked on the progressive formulation of different policy instruments and strategic frameworks to curb and minimize the impacts of climate change on all sub-sectors of the economy. Although much remains to be achieved, some level of success has been realized, particularly in the space of policy formulation, albeit the poor record of implementation. Using research methods inspired by the tradition of qualitative research and an appraisal of existing literature, this paper discusses the complexities of climate change adaptation governance at a local government level in South Africa, focusing on the Eastern Cape Province. It is argued in the paper that one of the major challenges for climate change governance at local municipality levels in South Africa emanates from the gap between aspirations and actions across the entire national governance system. The absence of an integrated climate change governance system has posed significant systemic challenges, and these have tended to constrain decision-making and implementation processes. These issues have been discussed within the broader discourse of the sustainable development goals, particularly goals number 13, 16 and 17.

在全球范围内,与气候变化相关的灾害在不断增加,给发展中国家,特别是撒哈拉以南非洲地区带来了严重的破坏性后果,而世界上许多穷人都居住在那里,这已不再是神话。因此,强调适应气候变化不再是一种选择,也不再是一个推迟到未来解决的问题,而是一个必须优先考虑的紧迫问题。为了应对气候变化对社会经济发展和环境退化带来的倒退性挑战,南非政府在过去的二十五年里着手逐步制定不同的政策工具和战略框架,以遏制和最大限度地减少气候变化对所有经济分部门的影响。尽管还有许多工作要做,但已经取得了一定程度的成功,特别是在政策制定方面,尽管执行记录不佳。本文采用受传统定性研究启发的研究方法,并通过对现有文献的评估,讨论了南非地方政府层面气候变化适应治理的复杂性,重点关注东开普省。本文认为,南非地方市政当局气候变化治理面临的主要挑战之一来自于整个国家治理体系中愿望与行动之间的差距。缺乏一个综合的气候变化治理系统带来了重大的系统性挑战,而这些挑战往往会制约决策和实施进程。这些问题已在可持续发展目标,特别是第 13、16 和 17 项目标的广泛讨论中进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
The future is transient: Barriers and opportunities for improved UK water resource climate change assessments using the enhanced Future Flows and Groundwater (eFLaG) climate service products 未来是短暂的:利用增强型未来流量和地下水(eFLaG)气候服务产品改进英国水资源气候变化评估的障碍与机遇
Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.69
Mason Durant, Eleanor Hall, Anna Morris, Grace Walburn, Amy Wilcox, Chris Counsell

UK water resources face a number of challenges when planning for an uncertain future. Climate change impacts and what future droughts might look like can be a significant contributor to this uncertainty. Recent and potential future developments (e.g. ever-finer resolutions) in climate modelling offer the potential for running bias-corrected transient future scenarios through hydrological, hydrogeological and water supply models, providing users with droughts of differing severity, frequency, spatial extent and duration to those experienced historically, incorporating changes over time and an understanding of climate model uncertainty. The recent enhanced Future Flows and Groundwater (eFLaG) project sought to demonstrate a climate service using these transient scenarios, with the aim of enhancing the resilience of the water industry to drought events and complementing existing approaches. The project demonstrated the use of this transient climate change information within a water resource setting, using a variety of hydrological and water resource models to help illuminate potential gaps and issues with such an approach. If we are to realise the potential of transient scenarios, a number of barriers – both scientific and organisational – need to be overcome. We present a road map for the future based on outcomes from the eFLaG project, as well as ways the eFLaG projections could be used to improve system resilience in the present.

在为不确定的未来进行规划时,英国的水资源面临着许多挑战。气候变化的影响以及未来干旱可能出现的情况是造成这种不确定性的重要原因。气候建模的最新发展和未来可能的发展(如不断细化的分辨率)为通过水文、水文地质和供水模型运行经过偏差校正的瞬态未来情景提供了可能性,为用户提供了与历史上不同严重程度、频率、空间范围和持续时间的干旱,并纳入了随着时间推移而发生的变化以及对气候模型不确定性的理解。最近的增强型未来流量和地下水(eFLaG)项目试图利用这些瞬态情景演示气候服务,目的是提高水行业对干旱事件的适应能力,并对现有方法进行补充。该项目利用各种水文和水资源模型,演示了在水资源环境中如何使用这种瞬态气候变化信息,以帮助阐明这种方法可能存在的差距和问题。如果我们要实现瞬态情景的潜力,就需要克服科学和组织方面的许多障碍。我们在 eFLaG 项目成果的基础上提出了未来的路线图,并介绍了如何利用 eFLaG 预测来提高当前系统的复原力。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change and ecological sustainability in Zimbabwe: Interrogating the role of Higher Education Institutions in disaster management 津巴布韦的气候变化与生态可持续性:探讨高等教育机构在灾害管理中的作用
Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.68
Mavis Thokozile Macheka

Zimbabwe has been hit by a number of cyclones in the last two decades, namely Cyclone Eline in 2000, Cyclone Japhet in 2003, Cyclone Dineo in 2017, Cyclone Idai in 2019, Tropical Storm Chalane in 2020, Cyclone Eloise in 2021, Cyclone Ana in 2022 and Cyclone Freddy in 2023. Resultantly, the issue of ecological sustainability becomes a key priority issue in the country, and thus, all key stakeholders’ participation becomes imperative. Against this background, the study interrogates the level of participation and inclusion of Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) in climate change and disaster management in Zimbabwe. This qualitative research adopted a mixed research approach where data were gathered and generated through self-administered and online questionnaires, focus group discussions, key informant interviews and document review. Findings revealed that the available laws, structures and mechanisms for climate change management and disaster prevention do not have provision for the participation of HEIs. The study further established mixed views among the participants regarding the efforts by HEIs in climate change and disaster management. On one hand, academics and students highlighted roles of HEIs in climate change management, and these include material donations, knowledge creation, training community on climate mainstreaming, awareness campaigns, leading climate change adaptation projects, leading climate change mitigation projects and testing and deployment of innovative practices. On the other, communities voiced their concern on the low level of participation by HEIs. Results illustrate that HEIs do not fully participate in ecological sustainability outside the academia realm. Therefore, the study concludes that in order to realize ecological sustainability, these policy gaps and inconsistences and failures could be bridged by allowing HEIs as centres of knowledge creation to be key players in climate change and disaster management. The ‘business as usual’ approach to environmental challenges could be changed to being key players in addressing climate change issues.

在过去二十年中,津巴布韦遭受了多次气旋袭击,即 2000 年的艾琳气旋、2003 年的贾菲特气旋、2017 年的迪尼奥气旋、2019 年的伊代气旋、2020 年的热带风暴查拉内、2021 年的埃洛伊丝气旋、2022 年的安娜气旋和 2023 年的弗雷迪气旋。因此,生态可持续性问题已成为该国的一个关键优先问题,所有关键利益相关方的参与也变得势在必行。在此背景下,本研究探讨了津巴布韦高等教育机构(HEIs)在气候变化和灾害管理方面的参与和融入程度。这项定性研究采用了混合研究方法,通过自填和在线问卷、焦点小组讨论、关键信息提供者访谈和文件审查来收集和生成数据。研究结果表明,现有的气候变化管理和灾害预防法律、结构和机制并没有规定高等院校的参与。研究进一步确定了参与者对高等院校在气候变化和灾害管理方面所做努力的不同看法。一方面,学者和学生强调了高等院校在气候变化管理中的作用,其中包括物资捐赠、知识创造、气候主流化社区培训、宣传活动、领导气候变化适应项目、领导气候变化减缓项目以及测试和部署创新做法。另一方面,社区对高等院校参与程度低表示关切。研究结果表明,高等院校并未充分参与学术领域之外的生态可持续性活动。因此,研究得出结论,为了实现生态可持续性,可以通过让高等院校作为知识创造中心成为气候变化和灾害管理的主要参与者来弥补这些政策差距、不一致和失败。可以改变应对环境挑战的 "一切照旧 "的做法,使其成为解决气候变化问题的主要参与者。
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引用次数: 0
Drivers of adaptive capacity of rural women farmers: The role of climate action and information mediums in rural Ghana 农村女农民适应能力的驱动因素:加纳农村地区气候行动和信息媒介的作用
Pub Date : 2024-03-19 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.67
Amma Birago Kantanka Gyimah, Philip Antwi-Agyei, Gifty Adom-Asamoah, Frank Baffour-Ata

Gender-differentiated roles, responsibilities, access, rights, and knowledge gaps shape women's vulnerability to climate change. This is especially critical for women farmers whose livelihoods are climate-dependent. A key component in building women farmers’ resilience to climate change is deepening their adaptive capacity. Therefore, this research sought to measure the adaptive capacity of women farmers from two unique districts of Ghana using the sustainable livelihood capitals and investigate how access to climate information and the uptake of climate action can influence women's adaptive capacity. Rural women farmers (n = 497) were interviewed through a survey and supported with key informant interviews from six agricultural staff at the selected districts. The adaptive capacity of respondents was rated moderate at 0.405. Differences between the adaptive capacity of women from different agroecological zones (Dormaa East—0.422; East Gonja—0.388) were statistically insignificant (p > 0.05). All climate information mediums except the TV medium had a significant prediction on women farmers’ adaptive capacity. The odds of a decreasing relationship of predictor variables, such as extension officer medium, radio, and adaptation action, require strategic structuring to accrue holistic benefit. The study thus recommends deepening women's benefit from extension services by attracting and retaining female extensionists, while training extensionists on tailored techniques for engaging female farmers. Again, extensionists who report high outreach to female farmers should be incentivized. Traditional and modern Information and Communication Technology mediums must be explored and integrated as alternatives. Co-benefit practices for both adaptation and mitigation should be encouraged among women farmers to deepen climate action.

不同性别的角色、责任、获取途径、权利和知识差距决定了妇女面对气候变化时的脆弱性。这对于生计依赖气候的女性农民来说尤为重要。增强女性农民应对气候变化的能力的一个关键要素是深化她们的适应能力。因此,本研究试图利用可持续生计资本来衡量加纳两个独特地区女农民的适应能力,并调查获取气候信息和采取气候行动如何影响妇女的适应能力。通过调查对农村女农民(n=497)进行了访谈,并对选定地区的六名农业工作人员进行了关键信息提供者访谈。受访者的适应能力被评为中等,为 0.405。来自不同农业生态区(东多尔马-0.422;东贡贾-0.388)的妇女的适应能力之间的差异在统计学上并不显著(p > 0.05)。除电视媒体外,其他气候信息媒体对女性农民适应能力的预测均有显著影响。推广人员媒介、广播和适应行动等预测变量之间存在递减关系的几率需要进行战略性调整,以获得整体效益。因此,研究建议通过吸引和留住女性推广人员,同时对推广人员进行有针对性的技术培训,以吸引女性农民参与,从而加深妇女从推广服务中获益。同样,应激励那些向女性农民提供大量服务的推广人员。必须探索传统和现代信息与通信技术媒介,并将其作为替代方案加以整合。应鼓励女农民采取适应和减缓的共同受益做法,以深化气候行动。
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Climate Resilience and Sustainability
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