捕捉城市洪水下的级联效应:异质性视角下的新框架

IF 5.9 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130249
Jiajing Li , Gaofeng Liu , Huimin Wang , Jing Huang , Lei Qiu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

城市洪涝灾害日益严重,对城市安全和可持续发展构成严重威胁。承灾体的非均质性是导致洪水级联破坏情景变异性的重要原因之一。以往的研究大多集中在特定类型承灾体的破坏传播风险上,无法对城市持续性洪水造成的破坏进行系统分析。与传统的图表示方式不同,本文构建了基于异质泛函图理论的异质承灾体网络(HHBBN),用于捕获洪水中城市资源的相关关联。HHBBN考虑了异质性,如敏感性和服务扩散性,与危险承载体相关的功能被表示为节点,服务关系和地理关联被描述为边缘。为了进一步研究暴雨洪涝过程中城市HHBBN的性能变化,还模拟了连续扰动下HHBBN的级联破坏。本文提出的网络建模和级联故障仿真方法在深圳市福田区进行了试验。实例结果表明,非均质承灾体相互依存、相互联系,使洪涝灾害传播速度更快、范围更广。此外,较大程度的承险体和扩展范围较大的承险体是影响非均质承险体级联破坏的关键因素。
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Capturing cascading effects under urban flooding: A new framework in the lens of heterogeneity

Increasing urban flooding posed serious threat to urban safety and sustainable development. The heterogeneity of hazard-bearing bodies is one of the important reasons for the variability of cascading failure scenarios in floods. Most previous studies have focused on failure propagation risks among specific types of hazard-bearing bodies, making it impossible to conduct a systematic analysis of the damage caused by persistent flooding in cities. In contrast to conventional graph representations, the heterogeneous hazard-bearing bodies network (HHBBN) based on heterogeneous functional graph theory was constructed in this paper and used to capture the relevant associations of urban resources in a flood. The HHBBN takes into account heterogeneity such as sensitivity and service diffusivity, and functionalities related to hazard-bearing bodies are represented as nodes, with service relationships and geographical associations depicted as edges. To further study the performance change of HHBBN in urban areas during rainstorm flooding, the cascading failure of HHBBN under continuous disturbance was also simulated. The proposed network modeling and cascading failure simulation methods were tested in Futian District of Shenzhen City, China. The case results demonstrate that the heterogeneous hazard-bearing bodies are interdependent and networked, which causes flood damage to spread more quickly and widely. Furthermore, the larger degree and more propagating hazard-bearing bodies are the key factors affecting the cascading failure of heterogeneous hazard-bearing bodies.

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来源期刊
Journal of Hydrology
Journal of Hydrology 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
12.50%
发文量
1309
审稿时长
7.5 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Hydrology publishes original research papers and comprehensive reviews in all the subfields of the hydrological sciences including water based management and policy issues that impact on economics and society. These comprise, but are not limited to the physical, chemical, biogeochemical, stochastic and systems aspects of surface and groundwater hydrology, hydrometeorology and hydrogeology. Relevant topics incorporating the insights and methodologies of disciplines such as climatology, water resource systems, hydraulics, agrohydrology, geomorphology, soil science, instrumentation and remote sensing, civil and environmental engineering are included. Social science perspectives on hydrological problems such as resource and ecological economics, environmental sociology, psychology and behavioural science, management and policy analysis are also invited. Multi-and interdisciplinary analyses of hydrological problems are within scope. The science published in the Journal of Hydrology is relevant to catchment scales rather than exclusively to a local scale or site.
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