揭示和陈述选择联合建模的贝叶斯层次方法

IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100419
Zili Li , Simon P. Washington , Zuduo Zheng , Carlo G. Prato
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引用次数: 0

摘要

揭示和陈述的选择数据是理解个人偏好的基本输入。由于这两类数据的独特性和互补性,基于它们的组合信息内容进行联合推断是偏好研究的一种有吸引力的方法。然而,在两种不同的选择环境下,不同的决策协议可能会带来复杂性。在这项研究中,提出了一个贝叶斯层次模型,从RP和SP的组合数据中进行联合推理,特别注意捕捉两种选择情境之间的行为差异。除了公认的决策惯性和规模差异问题外,所提出的模型还考虑了其他行为特征,如决策者忽视情境约束、不参与属性和误解属性。对旅行模式选择的RP和SP组合数据集进行了实证分析,以证明该模型的优势特征。在研究经验证据后,出现了两个主要优势:该模型提供了忽视情境约束和不参与属性所产生的行为问题影响的直接衡量标准,以及对属性误解的证据。
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A Bayesian hierarchical approach to the joint modelling of Revealed and stated choices

Revealed and stated choice data are fundamental inputs to understanding individuals’ preferences. Owning to the distinctive characteristics and complementary nature of these two types of data, making joint inference based on their combined information content represents an attractive approach to preference studies. However, complications may arise from the different decision protocols under the two distinct choice contexts. In this study, a Bayesian hierarchical model is proposed to make joint inference from combined RP and SP data, with special attention paid to capturing the behavioural differences between the two choice contexts. In addition to the well-recognised issues of decision inertia and scale differences, the proposed model also takes into account other behavioural characteristics such as a decision-maker ignoring situation constraints, non-attending attributes, and misinterpreting attributes. An empirical analysis of a combined RP and SP dataset of travel mode choices is used to demonstrate the advantageous features of the model. Upon examining the empirical evidence, two main advantages emerge: the model provides direct measures of the effect of behavioural issues arising from ignoring situation constraints and non-attending attributes, as well as evidence for the misinterpretation of attributes.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
12.50%
发文量
31
期刊最新文献
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