基于深度学习的长序列时间序列预测研究

IF 14.7 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Information Fusion Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.inffus.2023.101819
Zonglei Chen , Minbo Ma , Tianrui Li , Hongjun Wang , Chongshou Li
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引用次数: 7

摘要

深度学习技术的发展为时间序列预测领域带来了巨大的进步。短序列时间序列预测已不再满足当前研究界的需求,长期未来预测正成为热点,被称为长序列时间序列预报(LSTF)。LSTF在现存文献中得到了广泛的研究,但很少有关于其研究进展的综述。在本文中,我们对使用深度学习技术的LSTF研究进行了全面的调查。我们提出了LSTF的严格定义,并根据提出的基于网络结构的分类法总结了其演变。接下来,我们从长依赖建模、计算成本和评估指标三个方面讨论了三个关键问题和相应的解决方案。特别地,我们提出了一种基于Kruskal–Wallis测试的评估度量问题的评估方法。我们进一步综合了LSTF的应用程序、数据集和开源代码。此外,我们进行了广泛的案例研究,将所提出的基于Kruskal–Wallis测试的评估方法与现有指标进行了比较,结果证明了其有效性。最后,我们提出了这个快速发展的领域的潜在研究方向。所有资源和代码都是在一个统一的框架下组装和组织的,该框架可在线访问https://github.com/Masterleia/TSF_LSTF_Compare.
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Long sequence time-series forecasting with deep learning: A survey

The development of deep learning technology has brought great improvements to the field of time series forecasting. Short sequence time-series forecasting no longer satisfies the current research community, and long-term future prediction is becoming the hotspot, which is noted as long sequence time-series forecasting (LSTF). The LSTF has been widely studied in the extant literature, but few reviews of its research development are reported. In this article, we provide a comprehensive survey of LSTF studies with deep learning technology. We propose rigorous definitions of LSTF and summarize the evolution in terms of a proposed taxonomy based on network structure. Next, we discuss three key problems and corresponding solutions from long dependency modeling, computation cost, and evaluation metrics. In particular, we propose a Kruskal–Wallis test based evaluation method for evaluation metrics problems. We further synthesize the applications, datasets, and open-source codes of LSTF. Moreover, we conduct extensive case studies comparing the proposed Kruskal–Wallis test based evaluation method with existing metrics and the results demonstrate the effectiveness. Finally, we propose potential research directions in this rapidly growing field. All resources and codes are assembled and organized under a unified framework that is available online at https://github.com/Masterleia/TSF_LSTF_Compare.

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来源期刊
Information Fusion
Information Fusion 工程技术-计算机:理论方法
CiteScore
33.20
自引率
4.30%
发文量
161
审稿时长
7.9 months
期刊介绍: Information Fusion serves as a central platform for showcasing advancements in multi-sensor, multi-source, multi-process information fusion, fostering collaboration among diverse disciplines driving its progress. It is the leading outlet for sharing research and development in this field, focusing on architectures, algorithms, and applications. Papers dealing with fundamental theoretical analyses as well as those demonstrating their application to real-world problems will be welcome.
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