回归理论、阿雷悖论与萨维奇煎蛋

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS ACS Applied Bio Materials Pub Date : 2023-09-16 DOI:10.1016/j.jmp.2023.102807
V.G. Bardakhchyan, A.E. Allahverdyan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们研究了在两种概率彩票之间进行选择的一个足够普遍的后悔准则。对于独立彩票,该准则与随机优势一致,并且可以通过对遗憾函数的唯一选择使其具有传递性。遗憾准则结合额外的(直观上有意义的)超可加性性质,解决了Allais悖论,包括悖论消失的情况,以及选择符合预期效用的情况。这种超可加性性质也用于建立依赖彩票的后悔和随机优势之间的一致性。此外,我们还演示了如何在Savage煎蛋饼中使用后悔标准,这是一个经典的决策问题,其中彩票结果没有完全解决。预期效用不能在这种情况下使用,因为它抛弃了彩票的重要方面。
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Regret theory, Allais’ paradox, and Savage’s omelet

We study a sufficiently general regret criterion for choosing between two probabilistic lotteries. For independent lotteries, the criterion is consistent with stochastic dominance and can be made transitive by a unique choice of the regret function. Together with additional (and intuitively meaningful) super-additivity property, the regret criterion resolves the Allais’ paradox including the cases were the paradox disappears, and the choices agree with the expected utility. This super-additivity property is also employed for establishing consistency between regret and stochastic dominance for dependent lotteries. Furthermore, we demonstrate how the regret criterion can be used in Savage’s omelet, a classical decision problem in which the lottery outcomes are not fully resolved. The expected utility cannot be used in such situations, as it discards important aspects of lotteries.

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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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