用于商业运营预测和估计的机器学习模型

Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Journal of High Technology Management Research Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI:10.1016/j.hitech.2023.100455
Shaik Fayaz Ahamed , A. Vijayasankar , M. Thenmozhi , S. Rajendar , P. Bindu , T. Subha Mastan Rao
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引用次数: 1

摘要

机器学习(ML)系统是为了在大量数据中转换而构建的。在生产设置中应用ML允许收集额外的数据,这些数据可用于指导未来关于系统设计的决策。自20世纪70年代末以来,学术界对金融预测领域产生了兴趣。真实的商业环境忽视了预测中的统计方法,尽管模型非常复杂,计量经济学和经济学研究的能力也在提高。目前的研究集中在实现各种算法来识别每种产品的性能变化,并将时间序列模型相互比较,以确定更好的模型。正如预测书籍所建议的那样,一个基本的预测模型可以做出可靠的、基于事实的销售预测。预测模型的价值在于它能够通过提供一个无偏见的预测来简化预算编制和滚动预测的艰巨任务,从而制定全面的财务战略。在这项研究中,我们首先寻找可用于预测卡车零部件销售的适当机器学习算法,然后用所选算法进行实验,以预测销售并评估其效果。业务预测允许对各种各样的活动进行估计,每种活动都可以根据公司的个人需求进行定制。以下是一些经常估计的操作类型的示例。尽管众所周知,某些算法,如简单线性回归、梯度增强回归、支持向量回归和随机森林回归,优于其他算法,但已经证明随机森林回归是最合适的算法。根据实验和分析结果,选择岭回归算法作为对所选数据进行卡车零部件销售预测的最佳算法。
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Machine learning models for forecasting and estimation of business operations

Machine Learning (ML) systems are built to shift through large amounts of data. Applying ML in production settings allows for the collection of additional data that can be used to guide future decisions about the system's design. Since the late 1970s, academics have taken an interest in the field of financial predictions. The real business environment has neglected statistical methods in forecasting, despite highly sophisticated models and rising competence in econometrics and economics studies. Current research centres on implementing various algorithms to identify the variation in performance for each product, and it compares the time series models to one another to identify the better model. A basic forecast model can make reliable, fact-based sales projections, as suggested by the books on forecasting. The worth of the forecast model lies in its ability to simplify the arduous tasks of budgeting and rolling forecasting by providing an unbiased forecast upon which a comprehensive financial strategy can be based. In this research, we first look for appropriate machine learning algorithms that can be used to predict sales of truck components, and then we run experiments with the selected algorithms to make predictions about sales and assess how well they work. Business forecasting allows for the estimation of a wide variety of activities, each of which can be tailored to the individual requirements of the company. Here are a few examples of frequently estimated kinds of operations. Although it is well-known that certain algorithms, such as Simple Linear Regression, Gradient Boosting Regression, Support Vector Regression, and Random Forest Regression, outperform others, it has been demonstrated that Random Forest Regression is the most suitable algorithm. Based on the results of the experiments and the analysis, the Ridge regression algorithm was selected as the best algorithm to conduct the sales forecasting of truck components for the selected data.

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来源期刊
Journal of High Technology Management Research
Journal of High Technology Management Research Business, Management and Accounting-Strategy and Management
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
审稿时长
62 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of High Technology Management Research promotes interdisciplinary research regarding the special problems and opportunities related to the management of emerging technologies. It advances the theoretical base of knowledge available to both academicians and practitioners in studying the management of technological products, services, and companies. The Journal is intended as an outlet for individuals conducting research on high technology management at both a micro and macro level of analysis.
期刊最新文献
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