使用MERRA-2再分析对南部非洲城市地区40年大气PM2.5趋势的评估

IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Air Quality Atmosphere and Health Pub Date : 2023-07-12 DOI:10.1007/s11869-023-01392-3
Matthews Nyasulu, Fabiano Gibson Daud Thulu, Francis Alexander
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引用次数: 0

摘要

大气中空气动力学直径小于2.5μm的气溶胶(PM2.5)浓度过高对气候和人类健康都有重大影响。这项研究首次使用现代研究与应用回顾分析第二版(MERRA-2)气溶胶模拟估计了南部非洲城市地区40年(1980-2021)PM2.5的趋势。研究结果显示,在莫桑比克、马拉维、赞比亚、津巴布韦、马达加斯加、博茨瓦纳、纳米比亚和南非北部的生物质燃烧高峰9月至10月至11月(SON季节)期间,PM2.5最高,而在莫桑比克南部、南非东部和安哥拉西部的6月至7月至8月(JJA季节)期间。由于降水量的增加减少了大气中过量的PM2.5,该地区的PM2.5浓度在12月至1月至2月(DJF)和3月至4月至5月(MAM)季节最低。大多数地区的PM2.5年浓度超过了世界卫生组织(世界卫生组织,2021)最近提出的5μg m−3的建议,因此长期暴露于PM2.5对人类健康的威胁很大。长期趋势显示,在过去四十年中,该地区PM2.5显著增加,其中SON季节的增幅最高。因此,需要在整个地区实施能够降低PM2.5过量浓度的区域措施。
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An assessment of four decades atmospheric PM2.5 trends in urban locations over Southern Africa using MERRA-2 reanalysis

Excess concentration of aerosols with aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 μm (PM2.5) in atmosphere has significant implications to both climate and human health. For the first time, this study estimated four decades (1980–2021) trends of PM2.5 in urban locations across Southern Africa using the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications Version 2 (MERRA-2) aerosol simulations. The findings show that the highest PM2.5 is recorded during the peak of biomass burning, September-October-November (SON season) in locations selected over Mozambique, Malawi, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Madagascar, Botswana, Namibia, and north of South Africa while during Jun-July-August (JJA season) in locations selected over Southern Mozambique, eastern locations of South Africa, and west of Angola. The lowest PM2.5 concentration is observed during December-January-February (DJF) and March-April-May (MAM) seasons across the region due to increased precipitation which reduces excess PM2.5 in the atmosphere. The annual concentration of PM2.5 in most locations exceeds the recent recommendation by the World Health Organization (WHO, 2021) of 5μg m−3, hence high threat to human health due to long-term exposure to PM2.5. Long-term trends showed a significant increase of PM2.5 over the region during the last four decades, with the highest increment observed during SON season. Implementation of regional measures that can reduce excess PM2.5 concentration is therefore required across the region.

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来源期刊
Air Quality Atmosphere and Health
Air Quality Atmosphere and Health ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
2.00%
发文量
146
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Air Quality, Atmosphere, and Health is a multidisciplinary journal which, by its very name, illustrates the broad range of work it publishes and which focuses on atmospheric consequences of human activities and their implications for human and ecological health. It offers research papers, critical literature reviews and commentaries, as well as special issues devoted to topical subjects or themes. International in scope, the journal presents papers that inform and stimulate a global readership, as the topic addressed are global in their import. Consequently, we do not encourage submission of papers involving local data that relate to local problems. Unless they demonstrate wide applicability, these are better submitted to national or regional journals. Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health addresses such topics as acid precipitation; airborne particulate matter; air quality monitoring and management; exposure assessment; risk assessment; indoor air quality; atmospheric chemistry; atmospheric modeling and prediction; air pollution climatology; climate change and air quality; air pollution measurement; atmospheric impact assessment; forest-fire emissions; atmospheric science; greenhouse gases; health and ecological effects; clean air technology; regional and global change and satellite measurements. This journal benefits a diverse audience of researchers, public health officials and policy makers addressing problems that call for solutions based in evidence from atmospheric and exposure assessment scientists, epidemiologists, and risk assessors. Publication in the journal affords the opportunity to reach beyond defined disciplinary niches to this broader readership.
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