两个看似不相关的回归模型中主回归系数的置信椭球

Q Mathematics Statistical Methodology Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.stamet.2016.01.004
Kent R. Riggs , Phil D. Young , Dean M. Young
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引用次数: 6

摘要

在看似不相关回归(SUR)模型下,我们得到了带有干扰参数的协变量系数向量的两个新的置信椭球和四个置信椭球。与目前研究的大多数SUR模型的CE方法不同,我们假设两个回归模型的回归系数不等。两个新的基本CE是基于带有干扰参数的Wald统计量的CE和基于主回归系数的SUR两阶段无偏估计的渐近正态性的CE。我们通过蒙特卡罗模拟比较了六种基于sur的ce的覆盖范围和体积特性。对于我们模拟中的配置,我们确定,除了小样本量外,基于两阶段统计量的CE与Bartlett校正(1 - α)百分位数通常是首选,因为它基本上具有名义覆盖和相对较小的体积。对于小样本量,基于两阶段估计器的参数自举CE达到接近标称的覆盖范围,并且在体积方面优于竞争CE。最后,我们将三种具有良好覆盖特性和相对较小体积的SUR wald型CE应用于实际数据集,以证明其精度优于基于普通最小二乘的CE。
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Confidence ellipsoids for the primary regression coefficients in two seemingly unrelated regression models

We derive two new confidence ellipsoids (CEs) and four CE variations for covariate coefficient vectors with nuisance parameters under the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) model. Unlike most CE approaches for SUR models studied so far, we assume unequal regression coefficients for our two regression models. The two new basic CEs are a CE based on a Wald statistic with nuisance parameters and a CE based on the asymptotic normality of the SUR two-stage unbiased estimator of the primary regression coefficients. We compare the coverage and volume characteristics of the six SUR-based CEs via a Monte Carlo simulation. For the configurations in our simulation, we determine that, except for small sample sizes, a CE based on a two-stage statistic with a Bartlett corrected (1α) percentile is generally preferred because it has essentially nominal coverage and relatively small volume. For small sample sizes, the parametric bootstrap CE based on the two-stage estimator attains close-to-nominal coverage and is superior to the competing CEs in terms of volume. Finally, we apply three SUR Wald-type CEs with favorable coverage properties and relatively small volumes to a real data set to demonstrate the gain in precision over the ordinary-least-squares-based CE.

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来源期刊
Statistical Methodology
Statistical Methodology STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
0.59
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0.00%
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期刊介绍: Statistical Methodology aims to publish articles of high quality reflecting the varied facets of contemporary statistical theory as well as of significant applications. In addition to helping to stimulate research, the journal intends to bring about interactions among statisticians and scientists in other disciplines broadly interested in statistical methodology. The journal focuses on traditional areas such as statistical inference, multivariate analysis, design of experiments, sampling theory, regression analysis, re-sampling methods, time series, nonparametric statistics, etc., and also gives special emphasis to established as well as emerging applied areas.
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