亚洲房地产投资信托基金市场波动模型

IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pacific Rim Property Research Journal Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI:10.1080/14445921.2016.1235757
Wei Kang Loo, Melati Ahmad Anuar, S. Ramakrishnan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要本文分析了亚洲房地产投资信托(REIT)市场的波动行为。采用自回归条件异方差(ARCH)家族模型进行样本内拟合检验和样本外预测检验。结果表明,分数积分EGARCH模型是预测亚洲大部分REIT市场波动率的最佳模型。本研究的结果将有助于REIT投资者了解亚洲REIT市场的波动。同样,政策制定者也可以利用这些信息为未来制定衍生品定价。
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Modeling the volatility of Asian REIT markets
Abstract This paper analyzed the volatility behavior of Asian real estate investment trust (REIT) markets. The autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH)-family models were applied for the purpose of conducting the in-sample fitting test and out-of-sample forecasting test. Results showed that the fractional integrated EGARCH model was the best model in forecasting the volatility for most of the Asian REIT markets. The outcome of this study would be useful for REIT investors in understanding the volatility of the Asian REIT markets. Similarly, policy-makers can also make use of this information to create derivate pricing for the future.
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CiteScore
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