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The dynamics of house price in Vietnam 越南房价动态
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2022.2110369
Thi Kim Nguyen, Tran Nam Quoc, D. T. Hang, Muhammad Najib Razali
ABSTRACT We have assessed the housing market of Vietnam, with particular apartment prices in 10 urban districts of Hanoi, the capital of Vietnam. Significant determinants of house price include construction cost, income per capita, urban rent expense, and lending rate. Our findings show statistically significant and dynamic determinant effects on the apartment prices of 10 urban districts of Ha Noi. There are signs of volatility clustering in the GARCH effect at nine districts’ apartment prices, all with magnified effects. Amongst the ordinary least square (OLS), robust least squares (RLS) and bootstrap technique, RLS presents more significant fundamentals with higher Rs squared than the OLS and bootstrap on individual districts and overall Hanoi apartment prices. We find signs of price bubbles in the first quarter of 2015. While this quantitative analysis is limited to the north of Vietnam, the findings also provide insights into other significant centres of Vietnam. It also provides a basis for apartment price forecasts to the stakeholders in the housing market of Vietnam, investment decision-making and portfolio management for both household investors and mortgage investors. The study outcomes can be used to forecast the volatility dynamics of the expanded types of dwellings.
摘要:我们评估了越南的住房市场,特别是越南首都河内10个城区的公寓价格。房价的重要决定因素包括建筑成本、人均收入、城市租金支出和贷款利率。我们的研究结果显示了对河内10个城区公寓价格的统计显著和动态决定因素影响。有迹象表明,九个地区的公寓价格存在GARCH效应的波动性聚集,所有这些都具有放大效应。在普通最小二乘法(OLS)、稳健最小二乘法(RLS)和bootstrap技术中,RLS在各个地区和河内整体公寓价格上表现出比OLS和Bootstrat更显著的Rs平方更高的基本面。我们在2015年第一季度发现了价格泡沫的迹象。虽然这一定量分析仅限于越南北部,但研究结果也为越南其他重要中心提供了见解。它还为越南住房市场的利益相关者提供了公寓价格预测、家庭投资者和抵押贷款投资者的投资决策和投资组合管理的基础。研究结果可用于预测扩建类型住宅的波动动态。
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引用次数: 1
A contrariant observation on assumed rising property values and value capture 对假定房地产价值上升和价值捕获的反向观察
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2022.2122292
J. Sheehan, Andrew Kelly, Pi-Ying Lai, K. Rayner
ABSTRACT The assessment of rising property values and the resultant urge to capture some, if not most, of the presumed unearned increment in values has always exposed land use planners and legislators to an arguably flawed but longstanding premise. After reviewing key salient literary and legal aspects, the paper provides empirical material from Australia derived from British common law, and Taiwan derived from civil law. The underlying flaw is revealed in the premise that increased development potential through zoning necessarily directly or indirectly results in rising property values. The authors also posit there is an absence of methodological discourse between property rights holders, land use planners and legislators on value capture. Furthermore, there are the justifiable expectations of the community regarding rising property values and subsequent value capture to fund the provision of major infrastructure such as roads and railways. While commentators on both sides of the debate seek a transparent set of value capture outcomes to establish precedents for the future, the likelihood of such attempts being questionable. To attempt a solution without dealing with all of these intertwining issues is to risk perpetuating the disconnect between good and well understood planning law and professional practice.
摘要对不断上涨的房地产价值的评估,以及由此产生的捕捉部分(如果不是大部分的话)假定的非劳动价值增量的冲动,总是让土地利用规划者和立法者暴露在一个可以说有缺陷但长期存在的前提下。在回顾了重要的文学和法律方面之后,本文提供了来自澳大利亚的英国普通法和台湾大陆法的经验材料。通过分区增加发展潜力必然直接或间接导致房地产价值上升,这一前提揭示了潜在的缺陷。作者还认为,产权持有人、土地使用规划者和立法者之间缺乏关于价值捕获的方法论讨论。此外,社会对不断上涨的房地产价值和随后的价值捕获抱有合理的期望,以资助提供公路和铁路等主要基础设施。尽管辩论双方的评论员都在寻求一套透明的价值捕获结果,为未来树立先例,但这种尝试的可能性值得怀疑。试图在不处理所有这些相互交织的问题的情况下找到解决方案,就有可能使良好且广为人知的规划法与专业实践之间的脱节永久化。
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引用次数: 0
Housing construction materials and house rent trends in Ede, Nigeria 尼日利亚Ede的房屋建筑材料和房屋租金趋势
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2022.2045538
Dabara Daniel Ibrahim, Chiwuzie Augustina, Guyimu Joshua, O. Asa, O. Omotehinshe
ABSTRACT The study examines the relationship between housing construction material prices and house rents in Ede town, Nigeria, from 2002 to 2020 to guide investment decisions. The research was conducted using a questionnaire survey. The study’s population consists of landlords, estate surveyors and valuers, real estate agents, and building material suppliers/sellers in the study area. Data obtained was analysed employing descriptive and inferential statistical tools. The results showed that house rents and building material prices maintained an upward trend within the study period. Changes in house rents correlated with some percentage changes in the prices of selected building materials (cement, roofing sheet, reinforcement bar, sand and tiles). However, all the correlations are not statistically significant at 0.05 level. The regression model’s coefficient of determination R-squared revealed that building material costs explained about 43.6% of the variation in house rents. This result implies that factors other than building material costs may influence the changes in the house rents. The study’s finding will be valuable to stakeholders making real estate investment decisions in the study area and similar developing economies in general.
摘要本研究考察了2002年至2020年尼日利亚艾德镇房屋建筑材料价格与房屋租金之间的关系,以指导投资决策。这项研究是通过问卷调查进行的。研究人群包括研究区域内的房东、房地产测量师和估价师、房地产经纪人以及建筑材料供应商/销售商。使用描述性和推断性统计工具对获得的数据进行分析。结果显示,在研究期间,房屋租金和建筑材料价格保持上涨趋势。房屋租金的变化与选定建筑材料(水泥、屋面板、钢筋、沙子和瓷砖)价格的某些百分比变化相关。然而,在0.05的水平上,所有的相关性并不具有统计学意义。回归模型的决定系数R平方显示,建筑材料成本解释了房屋租金变化的43.6%。这一结果表明,建筑材料成本以外的因素可能会影响房屋租金的变化。这项研究的发现将对研究区域和类似发展中经济体的利益相关者做出房地产投资决策具有价值。
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引用次数: 1
Feng Shui and superstition in Hong Kong’s residential housing market 香港住宅市场的风水与迷信
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2022.2110370
Kwok-Chiu Lam
ABSTRACT Many studies are undertaken in Hong Kong or elsewhere to explore the impact of Feng Shui on house values. However, most of them seemingly mix it up with numerical superstition and seldom consider genuine Feng Shui factors except water view. Others simply treat those elements as environmental attributes and miss the most essential ingredient underlying Feng Shui’s Form School approach – orientation of dwellings. Moreover, under Compass School approach, there are entirely different meaning of the digits 1 to 9. Using a local private residential estate, we collect 622 sales transactions over 2018Q1 – 2021Q3 for analysis. We encompass diverse Feng Shui variables in a log-linear hedonic model and assess their price impacts. We find that southwest is the best facing direction of houses under Period 8. Whereas sea view can fetch a price premium of 2.46%, a great discount of 6.45% has to be offered for a residence facing Sha Qi. As Sha Qi diminishes with higher floors, homebuyers are willing to pay extra 0.1% for each upper floor. Hong Kong residents appear not numerological superstitious, but they do favor certain environmental attributes in accord with Feng Shui.
在香港或其他地方进行了许多研究,探讨风水对房屋价值的影响。然而,他们中的大多数人似乎把它与数字迷信混为一谈,除了水景之外,很少考虑真正的风水因素。其他人只是简单地将这些元素视为环境属性,而忽略了风水学派方法中最基本的要素——住宅的朝向。此外,在指南针学校的方法下,数字1到9的含义完全不同。使用本地私人住宅小区,我们收集了2018Q1 - 2021Q3期间的622笔销售交易进行分析。我们在对数线性享乐模型中包含了各种风水变量,并评估了它们对价格的影响。我们发现,西南是第8时期房屋的最佳朝向。海景房可以获得2.46%的价格溢价,而面向沙溪的住宅则必须提供6.45%的大幅折扣。随着楼层越高,沙奇越少,购房者愿意为每一层更高的楼层多支付0.1%的租金。香港居民似乎并不迷信数字命理,但他们确实喜欢符合风水的某些环境属性。
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引用次数: 1
Supply and demand approaches to the urban residential property prices determination; transactions evidence from Nigeria 城市住宅价格确定的供求方法来自尼日利亚的交易证据
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2022.2122295
N. A. Bello, R. K. Alimi, M. O. Abdulraheem, Adetoye Adepoju
ABSTRACT This study provided an empirical framework that isolates the supply and demand perspectives in urban residential property transactions towards removing the information shield and asymmetry nature of property transaction information in Nigeria. A three-stage classical panel longitudinal design was adopted through feedback from completed transaction data on residential properties from the licensed estate agents. The study provided balanced and complete transaction information desired by the parties to any type of residential property transaction and bridged the wide gap between transaction expectation and actualization to prevent improper signalling in property transaction prescriptions. The study outcome generated vital indices and metrics for creating a complete property transaction database for the attraction of international professionals to participate in Nigeria’s urban property market transactions. This study is the first one in Nigeria to link the asking prices on sales and rental transactions in residential property transactions from the start to the conclusion.
摘要本研究提供了一个实证框架,隔离了城市住宅房地产交易中的供需视角,以消除尼日利亚房地产交易信息的信息屏蔽和不对称性质。根据持牌地产代理对住宅物业已完成交易数据的反馈,采用了三阶段的经典面板纵向设计。本研究为任何类型的住宅物业交易提供了各方所需的均衡完整的交易信息,弥合了交易预期与实际之间的巨大差距,防止了房地产交易处方中的不当信号。研究结果为建立一个完整的房地产交易数据库提供了重要的指数和指标,以吸引国际专业人士参与尼日利亚的城市房地产市场交易。这项研究是尼日利亚第一个将住宅物业交易中销售和租赁交易的要价从开始到结束联系起来的研究。
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引用次数: 0
On the American perception of real estate as business: revisiting the ontological project of Julian Diaz III 论美国人对房地产的看法:重新审视朱利安·迪亚兹三世的本体论项目
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2022.2110372
O. A. K’Akumu
ABSTRACT This paper revisits the ideas of Julian Diaz III that were expressed in his journal article titled, “Science, Engineering, and the Discipline of Real Estate” that appeared in the inaugural volume of Journal of Real Estate Literature in 1993. In this article, Julian Diaz III made a bold attempt to use ontological constructs to help define conceptual boundaries of the real estate discipline. The paper begins by reviewing Diaz III’s key conceptualizations of real estate in terms of real estate as applied science and real estate as a bundle of activities. It then proceeds to evaluate these conceptualizations and use them to develop the theory of dualism in real estate discipline. Two dualistic models are identified: the Physical Model of Real Estate and the Business Model of Real Estate. Thereafter, the paper uses this dualistic realization to repudiate the conceptualization of real estate as an appendage of engineering or business profession. Finally, the paper advocates for the conceptualization of real estate as an independent discipline.
本文回顾了朱利安·迪亚兹三世在1993年《房地产文学杂志》创刊号上发表的题为“科学、工程和房地产学科”的期刊文章中表达的观点。在这篇文章中,朱利安·迪亚兹三世大胆尝试使用本体论结构来帮助定义房地产学科的概念边界。本文首先回顾了迪亚兹三世对房地产的关键概念,即房地产是应用科学,房地产是一系列活动。然后对这些概念进行评估,并利用它们来发展房地产学科中的二元论。确定了两个二元模型:房地产的物理模型和房地产的商业模型。此后,本文利用这种二元认识来否定房地产作为工程或商业职业的附属品的概念。最后,本文主张将房地产概念化为一门独立的学科。
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引用次数: 1
Barriers, drivers and prospects of the adoption of artificial intelligence property valuation methods in practice 人工智能房地产估价方法在实践中的障碍、驱动因素和前景
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2021.2001724
R. Abidoye, Junge Ma, Chyi Lin Lee
ABSTRACT Embracing technological advancement in the property valuation practice is unavoidable. However, studies show that valuers largely still adopt traditional methods of valuation. Hence, this study investigates the barriers, drivers, and prospects of the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) valuation methods in practice. An online questionnaire survey was conducted on valuers practising in Australia. Their opinions about the topic were collected and analysed using frequency distribution and mean score ranking to establish the most significant factors. According to the valuers, the most important advantage of AI valuation methods is that they will help to reduce the cost of valuations. It was also found that the professional bodies that regulate the property valuation practice are the major driver of the adoption of AI valuation methods. The valuers expressed that AI valuation methods may produce accurate estimates. The valuers confirmed that the main prospect of adopting the AI valuation methods in practice is that it could transform the property valuation industry. It is evident that all the property valuation stakeholders should invest efforts in promoting the adoption of AI valuation methods in practice to bridge the gap between theory and practice. This will help reposition the property valuation profession.
摘要在房地产估价实践中拥抱技术进步是不可避免的。然而,研究表明,估价师在很大程度上仍然采用传统的估价方法。因此,本研究调查了人工智能(AI)估值方法在实践中采用的障碍、驱动因素和前景。对在澳大利亚执业的估价师进行了在线问卷调查。收集他们对该主题的意见,并使用频率分布和平均得分排名进行分析,以确定最重要的因素。估值师表示,人工智能估值方法最重要的优势是有助于降低估值成本。研究还发现,规范房地产估价实践的专业机构是采用人工智能估价方法的主要驱动力。估值师表示,人工智能估值方法可能产生准确的估值。估价师确认,在实践中采用人工智能估价方法的主要前景是它可以改变房地产估价行业。很明显,所有房地产估价利益相关者都应该在实践中努力推动人工智能估价方法的采用,以弥合理论与实践之间的差距。这将有助于重新定位房地产估价行业。
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引用次数: 2
On solatium: towards a rethinking of compensation 论赡养费:走向对赔偿的反思
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2021.1992260
John Sheehan, Jasper Brown, K. Rayner
ABSTRACT Sovereign governments generally benefit from the capacity to commute private property rights to public ownership in order to undertake projects for the public benefit. When private property rights are compulsorily acquired by Australian governments, the criteria for the assessment of compensation accruing to the dispossessed landowner ordinarily requires consideration of a raft of heads of possible compensation. The primary aim of this paper is to canvass how those elements of traditional concepts of solatium as one of the heads of compensation ought now be viewed in the light of the defining High Court decision in Northern Territory v Griffiths [2019] HCA 7. However, a secondary aim (of the authors) is also to give consideration as to how the notion of solatium now fits in the broader Constitutional framework of the heads of compensation for private property rights compulsorily acquired. NSW legislation is used in this paper as a general exemplar of the Australian legal milieu regarding compulsory acquisition law and practice.
摘要主权政府通常受益于将私有产权转换为公有制的能力,以便开展有利于公众利益的项目。当澳大利亚政府强制获得私人产权时,评估被剥夺土地所有者应获得的补偿的标准通常需要考虑一系列可能的补偿。本文的主要目的是根据高等法院在Northern Territory v Griffiths[199]HCA 7一案中的决定性裁决,探讨如何看待作为赔偿主体之一的赡养费传统概念的这些要素。然而,(提交人)的第二个目的也是考虑赡养费的概念现在如何符合对强制获得的私人财产权进行赔偿的负责人的更广泛的宪法框架。本文将新南威尔士州的立法作为澳大利亚法律环境中关于强制收购法律和实践的一般范例。
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引用次数: 0
The structured learning of valuation modelling 估值模型的结构化学习
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2021.1983925
S. Boyd
ABSTRACT Active learning compels non-academic students to employ deeper learning strategies. Unfortunately, established activities to encourage active learning are resource intensive and do not suit physically distanced modes of delivery. This research presents an active learning module and proposes a novel structured approach to enhance the learning and teaching of financial modelling in property education, during and after COVID-19. A review of past research presents ways to encourage deeper learning. This research is primarily based on findings from published property education research. It builds on that knowledge as it shares the design of Valuation Modelling online module and the application of Petronzi and Petronzi’s (2020) Online and Campus (OaC) model, as a response to COVID-19. The OaC model is adapted to bring forward an applied learning activity, the development of a working valuation spreadsheet. The result is higher education unit, or subject, with an Apply, Evaluate, and Solve (AES) structure that aligns with academic frameworks, and has the potential to accommodate case-based and problem-based learning activities with less reliance on human resources. The Valuation Modelling module and its incorporation into an AES framed unit of study are demonstrated as contributions of this research.
主动学习迫使非学术性学生采用更深层次的学习策略。不幸的是,鼓励主动学习的既定活动是资源密集型的,不适合物理距离的交付模式。本研究提出了一个主动学习模块,并提出了一种新的结构化方法,以在COVID-19期间和之后加强房地产教育中金融建模的学习和教学。回顾过去的研究,提出了鼓励深入学习的方法。本研究主要基于已发表的财产教育研究结果。它以这些知识为基础,分享了评估模型在线模块的设计以及Petronzi和Petronzi(2020)在线和校园(OaC)模型的应用,以应对COVID-19。OaC模型适用于提出一种应用学习活动,即工作评估电子表格的开发。其结果是,高等教育单位或学科具有与学术框架一致的应用、评估和解决(AES)结构,并且具有适应基于案例和基于问题的学习活动的潜力,减少了对人力资源的依赖。评估模型模块及其纳入AES框架单元的研究被证明是本研究的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Compensation for land use deprivation in mining: an analysis of the laws and practices relating to land use deprivation compensation in Ghana’s mining sector 采矿业剥夺土地使用补偿:对加纳采矿业有关剥夺土地使用补偿的法律和做法的分析
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2022.2056301
Effah Amponsah, C. Eves, D. Halvitigala, Hyemi Hwang
ABSTRACT This article examines the laws and valuation methods that valuers apply in assessing compensation for land use deprivation in Ghana’s mining sector using two mining companies as case studies. We argue that analysing the valuation techniques applied in assessing compensation for land use deprivation in the context of current legal provisions facilitates a better understanding of the issues fuelling community dissatisfaction with compensation awards. Data produced through document analysis and interviews with 39 farmers, government officials, chiefs, private valuers, and officials of Newmont Goldcorp’s Ahafo Mine and Asanko Gold Ghana Limited were analysed in the context of the current legal framework for expropriation. Interview transcripts were coded based on themes and analysed using the constant comparison method. The findings reveal that the valuation techniques for assessing compensation for land use deprivation disregard fundamental compensation principles outlined under law. The study also exposes the weaknesses in the valuation techniques in assessing compensation for farmlands that mining may impair permanently. Towards ensuring fairness in compensating mining-impacted farmers, this study recommends additional legal directives to streamline the methods for assessing compensation for land use deprivation. The consequences of the limitations in the valuation methods on expropriated farmers are also discussed.
本文以两家矿业公司为案例研究,考察了评估师在评估加纳矿业部门土地使用剥夺补偿时应用的法律和估值方法。我们认为,在现行法律规定的背景下,分析用于评估剥夺土地使用补偿的估值技术,有助于更好地理解导致社区对补偿奖励不满的问题。通过对39名农民、政府官员、酋长、私人估价师以及Newmont Goldcorp的Ahafo矿山和Asanko Gold Ghana Limited的官员进行文件分析和访谈产生的数据,在当前征收法律框架的背景下进行了分析。访谈记录根据主题进行编码,并使用恒定比较方法进行分析。调查结果显示,评估剥夺土地使用补偿的估价技术忽视了法律规定的基本补偿原则。这项研究还暴露了评估采矿可能永久损害的农田补偿的估价技术的弱点。为了确保公平补偿受采矿影响的农民,本研究建议提供额外的法律指令,以简化评估剥夺土地使用补偿的方法。本文还讨论了估价方法的局限性给被征地农民带来的后果。
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引用次数: 1
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Pacific Rim Property Research Journal
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