土地利用变化对水文系统的影响:当前建模方法综述

G. Dwarakish, B. P. Ganasri
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引用次数: 143

摘要

摘要水文模拟在水资源管理决策中发挥着重要的作用。气候变化和土地利用、土地覆被变化对流域水文响应都有很大的影响。本研究的主要目的是详细回顾分析土地利用变化的水文影响的研究,并评估不同的情景模拟方法。此外,还简要介绍了用于模拟河流流量的基本水文模型。本文试图说明模型比较和性能评价在建模研究中的重要性。从这次审查中可以得出以下结论:(1)为了进行有效的水资源管理,有必要对土地利用变化和气候变化可能产生的影响进行建模;(2)分析不同土地利用特征和气候条件以及气候情景下集水区水文响应的变化是重要的;(3)将不同模型与水文模型相结合可以被认为是预测水文响应未来趋势的有效方法。
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Impact of land use change on hydrological systems: A review of current modeling approaches
Abstract Hydrologic modeling plays a very important role in assessing the seasonal water availability, which is necessary to take decisions in water resources management. Both climate and land use and land cover change have great influence on the hydrological response of a watershed. The main aim of this study is to provide a detailed review of studies which have been carried out to analyze the hydrological impacts of land use change, and also to evaluate different scenario modeling approaches. In addition, a brief description of basic hydrologic models which are used to simulate the stream flow is provided. This review paper tried to explain the importance of model comparison and performance evaluation in modeling studies. The following conclusions may be drawn from this review: (1) it is necessary to model the possible impacts of land use change and climate change in order to proceed with effective water resources management, (2) it is important to analyze the variation in hydrological response in catchments with different land use characteristics and climatic conditions and also under climate scenarios, and (3) integration of different models with hydrologic models can be considered as an efficient method to forecast future trends in hydrological response.
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Cogent Geoscience
Cogent Geoscience GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
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