从相关性和特征值视角看市场行为——基于RMT的中美市场调查。

IF 2.1 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Entropy Pub Date : 2023-10-18 DOI:10.3390/e25101460
Yong Tang, Jason Xiong, Zhitao Cheng, Yan Zhuang, Kunqi Li, Jingcong Xie, Yicheng Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究运用随机矩阵理论(RMT),系统地分析了中美股市的股价相关性行为和相关矩阵的特征值。结果表明,两个市场的大多数特征值都落在RMT预测的分布区间内,而一些较大的特征值则落在噪声之外,并携带市场信息。最大特征值代表市场,是平均相关性的良好指标。此外,两个市场的平均最大特征值与指数走势相似。该分析证明了特征值下降超过预测区间的部分,从而确定了主要的市场切换点。已经确定特征向量分量的平均值对应于市场本身的最大特征值切换。对第二大特征值及其特征向量的研究表明,中国市场由四个行业主导,而美国市场由三个主导行业主导。该研究后来调查了市场崩溃前后的变化,揭示了这两个市场的行为不同,在中国市场观察到了主要的市场结构变化,但在美国市场没有。研究结果为从股市数据中挖掘隐藏信息提供了新的线索。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Looking into the Market Behaviors through the Lens of Correlations and Eigenvalues: An Investigation on the Chinese and US Markets Using RMT.

This research systematically analyzes the behaviors of correlations among stock prices and the eigenvalues for correlation matrices by utilizing random matrix theory (RMT) for Chinese and US stock markets. Results suggest that most eigenvalues of both markets fall within the predicted distribution intervals by RMT, whereas some larger eigenvalues fall beyond the noises and carry market information. The largest eigenvalue represents the market and is a good indicator for averaged correlations. Further, the average largest eigenvalue shows similar movement with the index for both markets. The analysis demonstrates the fraction of eigenvalues falling beyond the predicted interval, pinpointing major market switching points. It has identified that the average of eigenvector components corresponds to the largest eigenvalue switch with the market itself. The investigation on the second largest eigenvalue and its eigenvector suggests that the Chinese market is dominated by four industries whereas the US market contains three leading industries. The study later investigates how it changes before and after a market crash, revealing that the two markets behave differently, and a major market structure change is observed in the Chinese market but not in the US market. The results shed new light on mining hidden information from stock market data.

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来源期刊
Entropy
Entropy PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
11.10%
发文量
1580
审稿时长
21.05 days
期刊介绍: Entropy (ISSN 1099-4300), an international and interdisciplinary journal of entropy and information studies, publishes reviews, regular research papers and short notes. Our aim is to encourage scientists to publish as much as possible their theoretical and experimental details. There is no restriction on the length of the papers. If there are computation and the experiment, the details must be provided so that the results can be reproduced.
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