中国股市与MILA股市之间的依赖关系

L. Mata, José Antonio Núñez Mora
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引用次数: 2

摘要

目的-本文的目的是分析中国和市场一体化拉丁美洲(MILA)股票市场之间的依赖关系。设计/方法/方法-作者调整了恒生指数(HSI)和MILA数据收益率的多元概率分布方差伽玛(VG),并使用VG下的估计参数来找到相关矩阵收益率的稳健估计。研究结果-中国、秘鲁、墨西哥、哥伦比亚和智利股票指数之间的依赖程度。此外,恒生指数变化的影响主要影响选择性股票价格指数(IPSA)的走势,同样影响墨西哥证券交易所(IPC)和利马证券交易所(S&P/BVL)的指数。对哥伦比亚证券交易所(COLCAP)指数的影响不显著。研究局限/影响-随着时间的推移,存在不同的结构变化,因此时间仅限于2000-2015年,但可以将分析扩展到指数中上市公司的其他时间段和行业。实际意义——研究结果可以指导政策制定者评估随机崩盘对股市的影响,并衡量其他市场的风险水平。社会影响-结果可以产生一个更好的理解中国股票市场和拉丁美洲新兴国家之间的关系。原创性/价值-本文的价值在于关注计算相关矩阵收益率的替代方法,并衡量中国和MILA股票市场之间的相关性。
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Dependence between the Chinese and MILA stock markets
Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to analyze the dependence between the Chinese and Market Integrated Latin America (MILA) stock markets. Design/methodology/approach - The authors adjust the multivariate probability distribution Variance Gamma (VG) on data yields from the Hang Seng Index (HSI) and MILA and they use the estimated parameters under VG to find a robust estimator of the correlation matrix yields. Findings - The degree of dependence between stock indices from China, Peru, Mexico, Colombia and Chile. In addition, the impact of the change in the HSI affects mostly the movements of the selective stock price index (IPSA) and equally affects the index of the Mexican stock exchange (IPC) and Lima Stock Exchange (S&P/BVL). The effect on index of the Colombia Stock Exchange (COLCAP) is not significant. Research limitations/implications - Over time there are different structural changes so the time has been restricted to the years 2000-2015, but could extend the analysis to other time periods and sectors of listed companies in the indices. Practical implications - The results can guide policy makers to assess the effect of a random crash on stock markets and measure the level of risk from other markets. Social implications - The results can generate a greater understanding of the relationship between the stock markets of China and the emerging countries of Latin America. Originality/value - The value of this paper is to focus on alternative methodology to calculate the correlation matrix yields and measure the dependence between the Chinese and MILA stock markets.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
4.20%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: The Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies (JCEFTS) negotiates China''s unique position within the international economy, and its interaction across the globe. From a truly international perspective, the journal publishes both qualitative and quantitative research in all areas of Chinese business and foreign trade, technical economics, business environment and business strategy. JCEFTS publishes high quality research papers, viewpoints, conceptual papers, case studies, literature reviews and general views. Emphasis is placed on the publication of articles which seek to link theory with application, or critically analyse real situations in terms of Chinese economics and business in China, with the objective of identifying good practice in these areas and assisting in the development of more appropriate arrangements for addressing crucial issues of Chinese economics and business. Papers accepted for publication will be double–blind peer-reviewed to ensure academic rigour and integrity.
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