{"title":"论书目数量随时间的增长:文献计量学预测的实践","authors":"N. L. Allinger, P. Schleyer","doi":"10.1108/EB026847","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Recent work has shown that potentially useful predictions of the circulation of library materials can be made which do not require very restrictive assumptions about underlying probability distributions. In the same spirit, we here consider one of the classic problems of bibliometrics, viz. predicting the number of ‘new’ journals carrying ‘relevant’ articles in the future, using both established parametric approaches and the newer, empirical methods.","PeriodicalId":47969,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Documentation","volume":"45 1","pages":"302-317"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"1990-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1108/EB026847","citationCount":"15","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"On the growth of bibliographies with time: an exercise in bibliometric prediction\",\"authors\":\"N. L. Allinger, P. Schleyer\",\"doi\":\"10.1108/EB026847\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Recent work has shown that potentially useful predictions of the circulation of library materials can be made which do not require very restrictive assumptions about underlying probability distributions. In the same spirit, we here consider one of the classic problems of bibliometrics, viz. predicting the number of ‘new’ journals carrying ‘relevant’ articles in the future, using both established parametric approaches and the newer, empirical methods.\",\"PeriodicalId\":47969,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Documentation\",\"volume\":\"45 1\",\"pages\":\"302-317\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"1990-02-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1108/EB026847\",\"citationCount\":\"15\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Documentation\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1108/EB026847\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Documentation","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1108/EB026847","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
On the growth of bibliographies with time: an exercise in bibliometric prediction
Recent work has shown that potentially useful predictions of the circulation of library materials can be made which do not require very restrictive assumptions about underlying probability distributions. In the same spirit, we here consider one of the classic problems of bibliometrics, viz. predicting the number of ‘new’ journals carrying ‘relevant’ articles in the future, using both established parametric approaches and the newer, empirical methods.
期刊介绍：
The scope of the Journal of Documentation is broadly information sciences, encompassing all of the academic and professional disciplines which deal with recorded information. These include, but are certainly not limited to: ■Information science, librarianship and related disciplines ■Information and knowledge management ■Information and knowledge organisation ■Information seeking and retrieval, and human information behaviour ■Information and digital literacies
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