里耶卡地区最大短期降水的估计

M. Gajić-Čapka, N. Ozanic, N. Krvavica
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文考虑了里耶卡市地区短期极端降水的发生,对极值进行了分析,并对结果的应用进行了评述。利用里耶卡气象站1958-2011年和1958-2012年的数据,估算了不同发生概率(回归期)下5、10、20、30、40和60分钟以及2、4、8、12和24小时的最大降水量。此外,我们还评估了2012年9月12日影响里耶卡市的强降雨事件的极值。利用20分钟至2小时的绝对极值记录,我们计算了降水峰值,以计算Rijeka的新的强度-持续时间-回归周期曲线。通过这种方式,我们修改了用于规划和设计城市排水系统的降水输入参数。此次修订包括20分钟、30分钟和40分钟持续时间的重大变化,其中2012年9月12日记录的金额的回归周期超过100年。
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ESTIMATON OF MAXIMUM SHORT-TERM PRECIPITATION OVER THE RIJEKA REGION
In this paper, we considered the occurrence of extreme short-term rainfall in the region of Rijeka city, analyzed the extreme values, and commented on application of the results. We estimated the maximum precipitation amounts for different occurrence probabilities (return periods) for time intervals of 5, 10, 20, 30, 40, and 60 minutes, as well as 2, 4, 8, 12 and 24 hours, using data taken at the Rijeka meteorological station over periods of 1958-2011 and 1958-2012. Additionally, we evaluated the extremity of a heavy rainfall event that affected the city of Rijeka on September 12th, 2012. Using absolute extremes recorded for time intervals of 20 minutes to 2 hours, we accounted for precipitation peaks to calculate new intensity-duration-return period curves for Rijeka. In this way, we revised the precipitation input parameters used to plan and design urban drainage systems. This revision included significant changes for durations of 20, 30, and 40 minutes, for which the amounts recorded on September 12th, 2012 had return periods of longer than 100 years.
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审稿时长
24 weeks
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