微仿真交通模型标定中的神经网络响应分析

I. I. Otkovic, D. Varevac, M. Šraml
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引用次数: 4

摘要

微仿真模型经常用于交通分析。校准中使用了各种优化方法,神经网络是一种成功的方法。本文给出了神经网络在微仿真交通模型标定过程中的响应。我们分析了两种应用神经网络的校准方法,并比较了它们的神经网络学习(根据它们实现的相关性和预测的平均误差)和泛化能力(两步分析了泛化结果的比较)。微模拟结果与神经网络预测结果的相关性最高,为88.3%,是第一种定标方法的基础。
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ANALYSIS OF NEURAL NETWORK RESPONSES IN CALIBRATION OF MICROSIMULATION TRAFFIC MODEL
Microsimulation models are frequently used in traffic analysis. Various optimization methods are used in calibration, and the one method that has shown success is neural networks. This paper shows the responses of neural networks during calibration of a microsimulation traffic model. We analyzed two calibration methods by applying neural networks and comparing their neural network learning (according to their achieved correlation and the mean error of prediction) and their generalization ability (comparison of generalization results was analyzed in two steps). The best correlation between the microsimulation results and neural network prediction was 88.3%, achieved for the traveling time prediction, on which the first calibration method is based.
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发文量
6
审稿时长
24 weeks
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