在人类进化过程中,作为预期寿命达到水平的函数的人口生育率。

G. Langner
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引用次数: 1

摘要

“老龄化社会”所有成员的平均预期寿命都在增加,这是现代历史上无人质疑的事实。然而,人口学中最著名的名字所争议的是,人口老龄化是死亡率下降和预期寿命增加的结果。据说“老龄化”的[主要]原因在于生育率的下降。从这个意义上说,今天的人口统计学家认为这是一个标准的结果:“生育率的变化对人口年龄结构的影响比死亡率的变化更大”。这篇基于新马尔萨斯主义对生育率在人口过程中的作用的解释的论文将受到质疑。
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Fertility of populations as a function of the attained level of life expectancy in the course of human evolution.
"¿Aging societies' with increasing life expectancies of the average of all their members are facts in modern history that are disputed by nobody. What is disputed by the most renowned names in demography, however, is that aging populations are a consequence of the fall in mortality and thus the increase in life expectancy. It is claimed that the [principal] reason for ¿aging' is to be found in a drop in fertility. In this sense today's demographers regard as a standard result: ¿Variations in fertility are of more significance for the age structure of populations than variations in mortality'. In the following paper this thesis, which is based on a neo-Malthusian interpretation of the role of fertility in the demographic process, will be questioned."
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