伊朗伊斯兰共和国境内的恐怖主义和圣战主义

Q4 Social Sciences Przeglad Strategiczny Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI:10.14746/ps.2022.1.6
R. Czulda
{"title":"伊朗伊斯兰共和国境内的恐怖主义和圣战主义","authors":"R. Czulda","doi":"10.14746/ps.2022.1.6","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Although from the very beginning of its existence the Islamic Republic of Iran has been regularly accused of supporting international terrorism, including Sunni organizations, this phenomenon is also a significant and growing threat for Tehran itself. In recent years Iran has become a target for the Sunni jihadists, who have even announced that in the near future the Shi’ite regime in Tehran would collapse and the Islamic State would take over. At the same time Iran has to cope with more traditional threats, posed by ethnic separatists – mainly Arabs, Kurds and the Baloch people – as well as by the MEK (People’s Mujahedin of Iran). \nThis paper analyzes main terrorism-related threats to contemporary Iran and to present both their causes and dynamics. The main argument of the paper is that although these challenges are mainly local (provincial), they have a potential to trigger a snowball effects and can weaken already a vulnerable stability of the Islamic Republic even further. Moreover, it is argued that decision-makers in Iran do not solve structural problems, but react with a further securitization. A risk is even higher now, when an increasing number of Iranians have become highly dissatisfied with their living conditions.","PeriodicalId":37800,"journal":{"name":"Przeglad Strategiczny","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Terrorism and Jihadism in the Islamic Republic of Iran\",\"authors\":\"R. Czulda\",\"doi\":\"10.14746/ps.2022.1.6\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Although from the very beginning of its existence the Islamic Republic of Iran has been regularly accused of supporting international terrorism, including Sunni organizations, this phenomenon is also a significant and growing threat for Tehran itself. In recent years Iran has become a target for the Sunni jihadists, who have even announced that in the near future the Shi’ite regime in Tehran would collapse and the Islamic State would take over. At the same time Iran has to cope with more traditional threats, posed by ethnic separatists – mainly Arabs, Kurds and the Baloch people – as well as by the MEK (People’s Mujahedin of Iran). \\nThis paper analyzes main terrorism-related threats to contemporary Iran and to present both their causes and dynamics. The main argument of the paper is that although these challenges are mainly local (provincial), they have a potential to trigger a snowball effects and can weaken already a vulnerable stability of the Islamic Republic even further. Moreover, it is argued that decision-makers in Iran do not solve structural problems, but react with a further securitization. A risk is even higher now, when an increasing number of Iranians have become highly dissatisfied with their living conditions.\",\"PeriodicalId\":37800,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Przeglad Strategiczny\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-02-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Przeglad Strategiczny\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.14746/ps.2022.1.6\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"Social Sciences\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Przeglad Strategiczny","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.14746/ps.2022.1.6","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"Social Sciences","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

虽然伊朗伊斯兰共和国从一开始就经常被指控支持国际恐怖主义,包括逊尼派组织,但这种现象对德黑兰本身也是一个重大和日益严重的威胁。近年来,伊朗已成为逊尼派圣战分子的目标,他们甚至宣布,在不久的将来,德黑兰的什叶派政权将垮台,伊斯兰国将接管伊朗。与此同时,伊朗必须应对更多的传统威胁,这些威胁来自民族分裂分子——主要是阿拉伯人、库尔德人和俾路支人——以及伊朗人民圣战者组织(MEK)。本文分析了当代伊朗面临的主要恐怖主义相关威胁,并提出了其原因和动态。本文的主要论点是,尽管这些挑战主要是地方性的(省级),但它们有可能引发滚雪球效应,并可能进一步削弱伊斯兰共和国本已脆弱的稳定。此外,本文认为伊朗的决策者并没有解决结构性问题,而是以进一步的证券化作为回应。现在,当越来越多的伊朗人对自己的生活条件非常不满时,这种风险甚至更高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Terrorism and Jihadism in the Islamic Republic of Iran
Although from the very beginning of its existence the Islamic Republic of Iran has been regularly accused of supporting international terrorism, including Sunni organizations, this phenomenon is also a significant and growing threat for Tehran itself. In recent years Iran has become a target for the Sunni jihadists, who have even announced that in the near future the Shi’ite regime in Tehran would collapse and the Islamic State would take over. At the same time Iran has to cope with more traditional threats, posed by ethnic separatists – mainly Arabs, Kurds and the Baloch people – as well as by the MEK (People’s Mujahedin of Iran). This paper analyzes main terrorism-related threats to contemporary Iran and to present both their causes and dynamics. The main argument of the paper is that although these challenges are mainly local (provincial), they have a potential to trigger a snowball effects and can weaken already a vulnerable stability of the Islamic Republic even further. Moreover, it is argued that decision-makers in Iran do not solve structural problems, but react with a further securitization. A risk is even higher now, when an increasing number of Iranians have become highly dissatisfied with their living conditions.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Przeglad Strategiczny
Przeglad Strategiczny Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
0.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: The periodical “Strategic Review” is published by the Faculty of Political Science and Journalism of Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznan. The aim of the journal is to create possibilities to share views and present results of research focusing on contemporary international relations, internal and international security and strategic studies. The journal’s aim is to encourage discussion and debate in these fields.
期刊最新文献
The Potential of Selected Central Asian States to Provide Security in Crises The Smell of Internationality. Towards a Sensual Approach to International Relations Peculiarities, Models and Problems of Interaction of International Non-Governmental Organisations With Other International Actors in Ensuring Peace and Security The Analysis of Turkish Foreign Policy in Syria: A Neoclassical Realist Perspective Fake News and Content Manipulation Under Russian Information Aggression
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1