穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼的崛起。沙特阿拉伯政权移交的机会?

Q4 Social Sciences Przeglad Strategiczny Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI:10.14746/ps.2022.1.10
R. Ożarowski
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是在沙特阿拉伯王国权力逐步过渡的背景下,提出计划和已经实施的社会、政治和经济变革的大纲。本文的主要论点涉及穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼的主导项目——“2030年愿景”,该项目假设沙特阿拉伯将逐步实现多维转型。许多已经实施的改革,包括限制神职人员的活动,不会带来快速的社会政治转型,因为沙特统治家族与瓦哈比激进运动之间长期根深蒂固的联盟,决定了该国的保守政权。在主要论文的基础上,作者试图回答与论文相关的研究问题,并触及穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼在沙特阿拉伯实施政治、经济变革的可能性问题。本文采用了以下研究方法:历史方法,即分析沙特君主制形成和发展的历史过程;文献分析-特别是与政府计划“远景2030”有关;系统方法的要素,其中系统由沙特阿拉伯政权构成;在可变的经济或社会数据背景下采用的统计方法的要素和预测要素指的是沙特阿拉伯在穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼统治下的发展模式。
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Mohammed Bin Salman’s Rising to Power. Chances for Transition in Saudi Arabia?
The aim of this paper is to present the outline of planned and already implemented social, political and economic changes in the context of gradual transition of power in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The main thesis put in this paper relates to Mohammed bin Salman’s leading project – “Vision 2030” which assumed gradual multi-dimensional transition in Saudi Arabia. Many of changes implemented already, including the limitation of clergy’s activity will not bring about quick social-political transition due to long-lasting and deeply rooted alliance between Saudi ruling clan and radical movement of Wahhabis, that determines conservative regime in the country. Basing on the main thesis Author tries to give the answer to research questions correlated with the thesis and touching the issue of possibility for implementation political, economic changes in Saudi Arabia by Mohammed bin Salman. In the paper following research methods has been applied: historical method, which refers to analysis of historical process of shaping and development Saudi monarchy; documentary analysis - relating to governmental project “Vision 2030” particularly; elements of systemic approach in which system is constituted by political regime of Saudi Arabia; elements of statistical method employed in the context of variable economic or social data and elements of predictive referring to the model of Saudi Arabia’s development under the rule of Mohammed bin Salman.
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来源期刊
Przeglad Strategiczny
Przeglad Strategiczny Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
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0.20
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期刊介绍: The periodical “Strategic Review” is published by the Faculty of Political Science and Journalism of Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznan. The aim of the journal is to create possibilities to share views and present results of research focusing on contemporary international relations, internal and international security and strategic studies. The journal’s aim is to encourage discussion and debate in these fields.
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