第五章。评估缓解气候变化的高影响技术研究、开发和部署的需求

Collabra Pub Date : 2016-12-12 DOI:10.1525/COLLABRA.64
D. Auston, S. Samuelsen, J. Brouwer, S. Denbaars, W. Glassley, B. Jenkins, Per Petersen, V. Srinivasan
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引用次数: 3

摘要

技术是减缓气候变化的所有战略的核心重要组成部分。因此,它包含了一个多维空间,这个空间太大了,无法在这个简短的章节中完全解决。因此,我们选择将重点放在我们认为可能产生重大影响的主题子集上。作为研究人员,我们也将注意力集中在应用研究、开发和部署问题上,而忽略了具有长期影响的基础研究课题。这几个主题也忽略了我们认为相对成熟的技术,如太阳能光伏发电和风力涡轮机,尽管我们承认进一步的研究可以进一步降低成本和提高性能。这些和其他成熟的技术,如运输,将在第6章讨论。本报告和相关的峰会是加州大学校长碳中和倡议的产物,因此我们受到这一雄心勃勃的目标的特殊要求的强烈激励,因为我们也受到加利福尼亚州,国家和世界相应目标的激励。加州大学碳中和倡议的独特之处在于,到2025年,所有10个校区都要实现零温室气体排放。应该强调的是,零排放目标的要求非常高,需要仔细的战略规划,以达到技术、政策和行为措施的混合,以及高度有效的沟通——所有这些都比减少40%甚至80%的排放量更具挑战性。每个校区都有一套基于其当前能源和排放的独特要求。当地气候、对热电联产的依赖、进入批发电力市场的机会以及是否包括医学院等因素构成了校园的具体挑战,每一个校园都是一个"活实验室",为其他人树立了学习和采用的模式。温室气体零排放目标的另一个方面是需要密切关注系统集成,即如何以最具成本效益和效率的方式将实现碳中和计划的各个要素结合在一起。这种优化施加了额外的约束,但也提供了捕捉这些选择可能产生的协同作用的重要机会。例如,已提出的主题之一是能源供应、住宅和商业建筑运营以及交通的完全电气化。储能技术的部署,如电池和/或氢气,既用于运输,也用于电网和分布式发电的负载平衡,可能为整合这些系统提供一些协同机会,从而加速每种系统的部署。一个具体的例子是在电动汽车上使用车载电池来平衡电网的负载。特斯拉汽车公司目前正在开发的现场住宅储能系统,有可能加速住宅太阳能装置的部署。以氢燃料电池汽车为例,提供加氢站网络的必要基础设施也可能通过利用多余的太阳能容量通过电解生产氢来加速氢在电网中的储存。
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Chapter 5. Assessing the Need for High Impact Technology Research, Development & Deployment for Mitigating Climate Change
Technology is a centrally important component of all strategies to mitigate climate change. As such, it encompasses a multi-dimensional space that is far too large to be fully addressed in this brief chapter. Consequently, we have elected to focus on a subset of topics that we believe have the potential for substantial impact. As researchers, we have also narrowed our focus to address applied research, development and deployment issues and omit basic research topics that have a longer-term impact. This handful of topics also omits technologies that we deem to be relatively mature, such as solar photovoltaics and wind turbines, even though we acknowledge that additional research could further reduce costs and enhance performance. These and other mature technologies such as transportation are discussed in Chapter 6. This report and the related Summit Conference are an outgrowth of the University of California President’s Carbon Neutrality Initiative, and consequently we are strongly motivated by the special demands of this ambitious goal, as we are also motivated by the corresponding goals for the State of California, the nation and the world. The unique feature of the UC Carbon Neutrality Initiative is the quest to achieve zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2025 at all ten 10 campuses. It should be emphasized that a zero emission target is enormously demanding and requires careful strategic planning to arrive at a mix of technologies, policies, and behavioral measures, as well as highly effective communication – all of which are far more challenging than reducing emissions by some 40% or even 80%. Each campus has a unique set of requirements based on its current energy and emissions. Factors such as a local climate, dependence on cogeneration, access to wholesale electricity markets, and whether a medical school is included shape the specific challenges of the campuses, each of which is a “living laboratory” setting a model for others to learn and adopt.  An additional aspect of a zero GHG emission target is the need to pay close attention to system integration – i.e., how the various elements of a plan to achieve carbon neutrality fit together in the most cost effective and efficient way. This optimization imposes an additional constraint, but also provides an important opportunity to capture the synergies that can arise from those choices. For example, one of the themes that has been proposed is the complete electrification of energy supplies, residential & commercial building operation, and transportation. The deployment of storage technologies such as batteries and/or hydrogen for both transportation and for load balancing of grid and distributed generation may provide some synergistic opportunities for integrating these systems that will accelerate the deployment of each. A specific example is the use of on-board batteries in electric vehicles for load balancing the electric grid. On-site residential storage as is now being developed by Tesla Motors, has the potential to accelerate the deployment of residential solar installations. In the case of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, the necessary infrastructure to provide a network of hydrogen filling stations might also accelerate the use of hydrogen for storage on the electric grid by using excess solar capacity to produce hydrogen by electrolysis.
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