COVID-19大流行对捷克共和国选民投票率的影响

IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Communist and Post-Communist Studies Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1525/cpcs.2023.1986333
Petr Voda, Petra Vodová
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文回答了在2020年捷克地区选举中,新冠肺炎疫情对个人选民投票率的影响。我们测试了与大流行对选民投票决定造成的感知危险有关的几个假设。人们认为大流行病的危险使人们不愿参加选举,认识许多感染者的人比不认识感染者的人更不愿意参加选举,老年人比年轻人更不愿意参加选举,妇女比男子更不愿意参加选举。我们的假设是通过准二项逻辑回归来检验的,数据来自选举后调查的866名受访者。没有发现感知危险的直接作用和年龄与感知危险的交互作用。感知危险的影响对女性起作用,但对男性不起作用。最后,当人们不认识任何感染者时,对大流行危险的感知不会产生影响,但当他们认识很多感染者时,就会产生强烈的负面影响。
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The Effects of COVID-19 Pandemic Perceptions on Voter Turnout in the Czech Republic
This article answers the question how the COVID-19 pandemic influenced voter turnout on the individual level in the Czech 2020 regional election. Several hypotheses connected to perceived danger caused by the pandemic on a voter’s decision to vote or not are tested. It is expected that perceived danger of the pandemic deters people from attending an election, and that such a constraint would be higher for those who know many infected people than for those who do not, for elderly people more than for younger people, and for women more than for men. The test of our hypotheses was executed by quasibinomial logistic regression with data on 866 respondents from a post-electoral survey. The direct effect of the perceived danger and effect of interaction between age and perceived danger was not found. The effect of perceived danger works for women but not for men. Finally, there is no effect of the perception of the danger of a pandemic when people do not know any infected people, but there is a strong negative impact in the case when they know a lot of them.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
23
期刊介绍: Communist and Post-Communist Studies is an international journal covering all communist and post-communist states and communist movements, including both their domestic policies and their international relations. It is focused on the analysis of historical as well as current developments in the communist and post-communist world, including ideology, economy and society. It also aims to provide comparative foci on a given subject by inviting comments of a comparative character from scholars specializing in the same subject matter but in different countries.
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