全球化对通货膨胀和伊斯兰货币政策传导的影响:以印尼为例

Yoghi Citra Pratama
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究旨在研究全球化对印度尼西亚国内通货膨胀性质的影响,并衡量其对伊斯兰货币政策的影响程度,以及伊斯兰货币政策如何应对。具体而言,考察各渠道在货币政策传导中的作用是减弱还是增强。为了实现这些目标,本文构建了印尼货币经济的随机波动动态因子模型(DFM-SV)。然而,在解决这些目标之前,要处理货币政策冲击是否具有合理的宏观经济影响的问题。为此,采用了一种非递归识别策略。采用协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和广义脉冲响应函数等时间序列计量方法检验变量之间的动态关系。关键词:全球化,通货膨胀,波动性,伊斯兰货币政策
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The Impacts of Globalization on Inflation andTransmission of Islamic Monetary Policy: Case Study in Indonesia
This Research aims to examine the implications of globalization for the nature of domestic inflation in Indonesia and to measure how far the influence to the Islamic monetary policyand how Islamic Monetary Policy deal with it. Specifically, whether the role played by each channel in the monetary policy transmission weakened or strengthened is investigated. To achieve these objectives a dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility (DFM-SV)model of the Indonesian monetary economy is constructed. However, before these objectives are addressed the issue of whether the monetary policy shocks have plausible macroeconomic effects is dealt with. To that end, a nonrecursive identifying strategy is applied.Time series econometric methods such as cointegration test, Granger causality test and generalized impulse response functions are applied in examining the dynamic relationship of the variables. Keyword: globalization, inflation, volatility, Islamic monetary policy
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