调查黄金、股票和债券的角色:避险、对冲还是分散?

Siti Rohaya Mat Rahim, Abdelhak Senadjki, Wei-Lin Mao, Shuh Liang
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究考察了在最近的金融危机中,黄金是否被用作避险工具、对冲工具或分散投资工具。我们使用了三个不同的每日数据集,全样本时期为2001年7月18日至2007年7月27日,危机前时期为2001年7月18日至2007年7月27日,危机后时期为2009年3月9日至2017年1月31日。本文采用结构向量自回归(SVAR)模型。实际上,本研究考察的是黄金、股票、债券市场和汇率之间的动态关系。汇率变量包括美元/林吉特、人民币/林吉特和欧元/林吉特。这一分析表明,黄金回报似乎是股票的弱安全避风港,是债券的多元化工具,也是对抗美元/马来西亚林吉特的弱对冲工具。最后,结果证实了股票收益对国债是弱对冲。
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Investigating the Roles of Gold, Stocks and Bonds: A Safe Haven, Hedge or Diversifier?
This study examines whether gold is used as a safe haven, hedge or diversifier during the recent financial crisis. We employed three different daily data set, full sample period from 18/07/2001 to 27/07/2007, the pre-crisis period between 18/07/2001 to 27/07/2007 and the post-crisis period between 09/03/2009 to 31/01/2017. This paper employs a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) model. In fact, this research investigates the dynamic relationship between gold, stocks, bond market and exchange rate. The exchange rate variable consists of USD/MYR, RMB/MYR and EURO/MYR. This analysis suggest that gold return appear to be a weak safe haven for stock, diversifier for bonds and a weak hedge against USD/MYR. Finally, the results confirm that stock return is a weak hedge for government bond.
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