2000年至2019年巴西老年人跌倒死亡率趋势。

Ilana Carla Mendes Gonçalves, Ronilson Ferreira Freitas, É. Aquino, J. Carneiro, A. Lessa
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引用次数: 2

摘要

目的分析2000 - 2019年巴西老年人跌倒死亡率趋势。方法采用生态学时间序列设计进行流行病学分析研究。使用从巴西死亡率信息系统中提取的特定时期的二级卫生数据进行回顾性分析。计算了一般死亡率、特定性别和年龄死亡率的标准化率。采用Prais-Winsten模型和年增长率(AIR)观察死亡率变化趋势。结果:在2000年至2019年期间,我们确定了135209例老年人因跌倒而死亡。总体而言,在研究期间,跌倒死亡率呈上升趋势(β=0.023;p < 0.001;空气= 5.45%)。我们观察到两名男性(β=0.022;p < 0.001;AIR=5.19%)和女性(β=0.024;p < 0.001;AIR=5.72%)呈上升趋势。就年龄组而言,所有年龄组的死亡率均呈上升趋势,但年龄≥80岁的老年人死亡率较高(β=0.027;p < 0.001;空气= 6.38%)。结论在研究的时间序列中,巴西的死亡率呈上升趋势。这些研究结果表明,为这一年龄组确定护理线的重要性,重点是促进老年人的健康和预防跌倒的风险,旨在减少因这一原因死亡的人数,并有利于这一人口的生活质量。
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Mortality trend from falls in Brazilian older adults from 2000 to 2019.
OBJECTIVE To analyze the trend of mortality from falls among older adults in Brazil from 2000 to 2019. METHODS This is an epidemiological, analytical study with an ecological time-series design. A retrospective analysis was performed using secondary health data extracted from the Brazilian Mortality Information System in the specific period. Standardized rates of general and sex- and age-specific mortality were calculated. To observe the mortality trend, the Prais-Winsten model and the Annual Increase Rate (AIR) were used. RESULTS We identified 135,209 deaths resulting from falls in older adults in the period from 2000 to 2019. Mortality from falls in general, during the study period, had an upward trend (β=0.023; p<0.001; AIR=5.45%). We observed that both men (β=0.022; p<0.001; AIR=5.19%) and women (β=0.024; p<0.001; AIR=5.72%) had an upward trend. Regarding age group, the results also pointed to an upward mortality trend in all age strata, although higher in older people aged ≥80 years (β=0.027; p<0.001; AIR=6.38%). CONCLUSION There was an upward trend in mortality rates in Brazil during the time series studied. These findings suggest the importance of defining a line of care for this age group, focusing on promoting health in older adults and preventing the risk of falls, aiming at a reduction in the number of deaths from this cause and favoring the quality of life of this population.
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来源期刊
Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia
Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia Medicine-Medicine (all)
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
89
审稿时长
21 weeks
期刊介绍: Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia (Brazilian Journal of Epidemiology) - every four months, journal published by the ABRASCO - aims at publishing not previously published Original Articles, including critical reviews on specific themes, which may contribute to the development of Epidemiology and related Sciences. Revista also publishes articles in the following categories: Debate aimed at discussing different views of the same theme which may be presented as an original article followed by comments from other authors, reproduction of panels and other similar formats; Notes and Information - notes on primary results of research studies.
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