中央银行的数字货币

Q1 Arts and Humanities Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.17994/it.2021.19.2.65.8
E. Sidorenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该研究对中央银行数字货币(CBDC)作为一种新的金融工具进行了系统分析。该研究的主要目标是在评估将这种金融工具引入现代货币政策的主要特征、优势和风险的基础上,审查CBDC在国内和国际上的经济发展情景。该研究考虑了CBDC的以下三个主要特征:国内结算工具、国家经济集团的单一记账单位和通用的国际数字货币。作者根据市场参与者的动机、项目的准备程度及其与现有金融体系的兼容性考虑了每种模型。根据支付架构、技术参数和实施规模,模型的差异可以得出结论,目前无论是对个别国家还是整个国际社会,都没有对CBDC的性质和经济优势达成共识。注意到金融系统数字化的技术优势,各国尚未回答CBDC实施规模的问题。它会在国内取代现金,还是会成为一种单一的国际支付工具?各州现在准备好考虑这种可能性了吗?作者通过证实以下观点来总结研究,即在未来3-5年内,对数字金融服务部门的兴趣将主要在发展中国家增长,寻求数字金融服务发展的质的飞跃。对于发达国家来说,无论是客观上还是主观上,他们都没有准备好改变已经建立并经过验证的金融体系,因此,鉴于他们对范式转变的兴趣不大,未来10年数字货币将无法替代美元作为国际结算单位。与此同时,如果参与者的目标一致,CBDC很有可能在国家经济集团内发展为一种支付手段。
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Digital Currency of Central Banks
The study provides a systematic analysis of central banks digital currencies (CBDC) as a new financial instrument. The main goal of the study was to review the CBDC economic development scenarios both domestically and internationally based on the assessment of the main features, advantages and risks of introducing this financial instrument into the modern monetary policy. The study considers the following three main characteristics of CBDC: a tool for domestic settlements, a single unit of account for the economic bloc of countries and a universal international digital currency. Each of these models was considered by the author in terms of the motivation of market participants, degree of readiness of the project and its compatibility with the existing financial system. Differentiation of models, depending on the payment architecture, the technological parameters and the implementation scale, allowed to conclude that currently there is no common understanding of the CBDC nature and economic advantages neither for individual countries nor for the international community as a whole. Noting the technological advantages of digitalization of the financial system, states are yet to answer the question of the CBDC implementation scale. Will it replace cash domestically or will it become a single international payment instrument? And are states ready today to consider such a possibility? The author concludes the study by substantiating the idea that in the next 3-5 years interest in the digital financial services sector will grow mainly in developing countries looking for a qualitative leap in the development of the digital financial services. As for the developed countries, those are neither objectively nor subjectively ready to change the already built and well-proven financial system, and therefore, given their weak interest in paradigm shifts, digital currency in the next 10 years will not be able to provide an alternative to the US dollar as a unit of international settlements. At the same time, there is a high probability of the CBDC development as a means of payment within the economic bloc of countries provided the unity of purpose of its participants.
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来源期刊
Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy
Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
审稿时长
34 weeks
期刊介绍: “International Trends” (“Mezhdunarodnye protsessy”) was established in 2002 as the first Russian TIR journal. As of the early 2010s, it holds a strong position among the top three Russian thematic academic journals (according to the Russian Science Citation Index). The Journal’s key mission is a theoretical comprehension of the world as a whole, of international tendencies and the planetary political environment, and of the world-integrity our country finds herself in and develops with.
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