解决冲突的“小步”方法

Q1 Arts and Humanities Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.17994/it.2022.20.1.68.1
M. Shevchuk
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文分析了和平进程中的“小步战术”现象。本报告试图说明,各方在解决非政治化问题方面的系统互动如何能够避免谈判进程再次“冻结”,或至少在谈判不在政治和外交一级进行时保持非正式对话。这种做法与第二轨道外交或半轨道外交以及可持续对话和建立信任措施的概念相邻。如果不至少在构成政治议程和坐在谈判桌上的各方代表的那些社会团体之间建立足够程度的相互信任,在长期和持续的冲突的情况下,和解和找到一个可靠的解决方案是不可能的。这项研究使作者能够确定建立信任措施和“小步骤”策略的相似性,以及概念上的差异,使我们能够谈论其创新性质。本文回顾了“小步骤”策略的积极叙述,并指出了其应用的局限性。为此目的,包括谈判进程的档案文件、欧安组织和冲突各方外交部的报告、有关参与者的声明以及作者的个人经验,作者多年来一直参与以“5+2”形式进行的德涅斯特河外解决问题的谈判进程。本文认为,“小步骤”策略不能解决冲突,也不能建立一种解决模式,但由于行为模式的相互安全原则,它有可能实现冲突各方关系的转变,使冲突各方从对抗转向合作,从而影响冲突地区的局势。
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‘Small Steps’ Approach to Conflict Settlement
The article analyzes the phenomenon of the small steps tactics in the peace process. An attempt is made to demonstrate how the systematic interaction of the parties to resolve non-politicized issues allows either to avoid another "freeze" of the negotiation process, or, at least, to maintain an informal dialogue when negotiations are not conducted at the political and diplomatic level. This approach is adjacent to the Track II diplomacy or one-and-a-half track diplomacy, as well as to the concepts of sustainable dialogue and confidence building measures. Reconciliation and finding a reliable formula for settlement is impossible in cases of protracted and smoldering conflicts without creating a sufficient level of mutual trust, at least between those social groups of representatives of the parties who form the political agenda and who are at the negotiating table. The study allowed the author to identify the similarity of confidence building measures and the "small steps" tactics, as well as conceptual differences that allow us to talk about its innovative nature. The article reviews the positive narratives of the "small steps" tactics and identifies limitations for its application. For this purpose, archival documents of the negotiation process, reports of the OSCE and foreign ministries of the parties to the conflict, statements of the involved participants, as well as the personal experience of the author, who was involved for a number of years in the negotiation process on the Transdnistrian settlement in the "5+2" format. The paper concludes that the "small steps" tactic is not able to resolve the conflict or build a settlement model, but, thanks to the principle of mutual security of behavior models, it makes it possible to achieve a change in the relations of the parties to the conflict, to transfer them from confrontational to cooperative, thus influencing the situation in the conflict zone.
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来源期刊
Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy
Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
审稿时长
34 weeks
期刊介绍: “International Trends” (“Mezhdunarodnye protsessy”) was established in 2002 as the first Russian TIR journal. As of the early 2010s, it holds a strong position among the top three Russian thematic academic journals (according to the Russian Science Citation Index). The Journal’s key mission is a theoretical comprehension of the world as a whole, of international tendencies and the planetary political environment, and of the world-integrity our country finds herself in and develops with.
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