基于多主体的宏观经济模型

Sándor Karajz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

宏观经济模型出现于20世纪末,到21世纪头十年已被广泛接受。然而,随后的2007年金融危机和实体经济危机暴露了动态随机一般均衡模型(DSGE)的弱点,基于agent的模型得到青睐。基于主体的模型——更好地反映现实——假设个人能够从过去的经验中学习。在经济学中,聚合被认为是宏观经济过程分析的基础,这导致了以下问题:描述宏观经济和相关指标的过程如何从微观经济层面上做出的决策产生的结果中获得?所采用的方法是否合适?是否考虑了协同的可能性?本研究试图为这些问题提供答案。
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Multi-Agent-Based Macroeconomic Modelling
Macroeconomic modelling emerged at the end of the 20th century and by the first decade of the 21st century it had been widely accepted. However, the financial crisis of 2007 followed by the real economy crisis exposed the weaknesses of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models (DSGE) and agent-based models became favoured. Agent-based models – better reflecting reality– assume that individuals are capable of learning from past experiences. In economics, aggregation is considered to be fundamental in the analysis of macroeconomic processes, leading to question such as: How can processes describing macroeconomics and related indicators be obtained from results generated from decisions made at a microeconomic level? Is the applied method appropriate? Are synergy possibilities considered? This study attempts to provide answers to these questions.
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发文量
7
审稿时长
30 weeks
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