柬埔寨的竞争力和政府支出:一个自回归的分布滞后方法

Leanghak Hok
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在全球化时代,全球竞争力日益受到政策制定者和学者的关注。本文主要研究基于市场规模扩张的贸易竞争力测度方法。自2008年全球危机以来,财政政策已成为争论的主题。本文试图考察政府支出(即政府投资和政府消费)对贸易竞争力的影响。采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法估计动态关系。根据柬埔寨1970年至2015年的年度数据得出的结果显示,当公共投资、政府采购或总私人支出增加时,柬埔寨的贸易竞争力会增强。这项研究形成了另一种看法,即财政政策作为国内支出在加强国际宏观经济活动方面的有效性。
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Competitiveness and government spending in Cambodia: An autoregressive distributed lag approach
In the globalization age, global competitiveness is gaining attention from policymakers and scholars. This paper focuses on a measurement of trade competitiveness based upon the expansion of market size. Fiscal policy has become a subject of debate since the global crisis of 2008. This paper attempts to examine the influence of government spending (i.e., government investment and consumption) on trade competitiveness. The Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) approach is used to estimate the dynamic relationship. The result, based on Cambodia's annual data from 1970 to 2015, shows that Cambodia’s trade competitiveness increases when there is a rise in public investment, government purchases, or aggregate private spending. This study shapes an alternative perception of the effectiveness of fiscal policy as domestic expenditure in enhancing international macroeconomic activities.
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审稿时长
30 weeks
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