科技民族主义棱镜下的中美科技战争

I. Danilin
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引用次数: 3

摘要

2017-2018年开始的中美“技术战”引发了一系列关于技术发展作为超级大国关系中一个因素的未来作用的问题。分析表明,对美国来说,这种冲突是由于中国实力的崛起和两国地缘政治紧张局势的加剧,导致自由主义全球化模式的风险和利益平衡发生变化而引起的。在这种背景下,新兴技术,尤其是数字技术,似乎成为超级大国之间的新战场。在现实主义框架内,行动者认为新兴技术是加强其全球地位的关键因素。除其他外,这有助于证券化技术议程并加强其地缘政治层面。新技术民族主义已经成为将不同的过程和目标整合到美国新政策中的平台。虽然历史上新技术民族主义起源于亚洲,但不断变化的市场形势促使美国重新思考现有的方法,并升级其政策的技术民族主义层面。考虑到中国和欧盟的类似政策(即欧洲数字主权政策),这一趋势形成了技术“集团”、技术平台扩张斗争和技术冲突的新现实。考虑到全球经济的未来发展需求和共同利益领域的未来规范,随着新的数字技术的成熟,超级大国之间对话正常化的基础将出现。然而,至少在美中问题上,地缘政治矛盾将使这个问题复杂化,几乎没有任何认真妥协的余地。
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The U.S.-China technological war through the prism of techno-nationalism
The “technological war” between the United States and China that started in 2017–2018 raises a number of questions about the future role of technological development as a factor in relations between superpowers. Analysis shows that for the United States this conflict is caused by changing balance of risks and benefits of the liberal model of globalization due to the rise of China`s power and growing geopolitical tensions between the two nations. In this context, emerging, especially digital, technologies appear to be a new battlefield between superpowers. Within the realist framework, actors consider emerging technologies as a key factor for strengthening their global postures. This, among other things, contributes to securitized technological agenda and strengthens its geopolitical dimension. Neo-technonationalism has become the platform that integrates different processes and goals into new U.S. policy. Although historically neo-technonationalism took its roots in Asia, the evolving market situation prompted the United States to rethink existing approaches and to upgrade the techno-nationalist dimension of its policy. Considering similar policies of China and the EU (i. e. the European digital sovereignty policy), this trend shapes new realities of technological “blocs”, the struggle for expansion of technological platforms, and technological conflicts. Taking into account prospective development needs of the global economy and future specification of mutual interest areas, as new digital technologies mature, the ground for normalizing the dialogue between the superpowers will emerge. However, at least in the U.S.–China case, this issue will be complicated by geopolitical contradictions that leave little room for any serious compromise.
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