拜登政府对伊朗核协议的态度演变与地区和平前景

S. Mousavian, Y. Mahmoudieh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

乔·拜登团队的公开声明和竞选承诺让人们对美国重返2015年伊朗核协议或联合全面行动计划(JCPOA)产生了希望。因此,在拜登总统获胜后,对解除制裁和即将与伊朗取得外交突破的预期迅速升温。然而,仔细观察新出现的证据就会发现,新政府最初打算以一种不同的伊朗战略重返JCPOA,一种胁迫和压力的战略。由于前总统特朗普对伊朗的“极限施压”,JCPOA实际上已经死亡。然后它不得不复活。本文考察了成功地将拜登政府的政策转变为更现实和合作的方式的关键因素。然而,拜登的拖延并非没有后果,并对美伊关系以及全面协议的执行产生重大影响。
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Evolution of the Biden administration’s approach to Iran nuclear deal and prospects for regional peace
Public statements and a campaign promise made by the Joe Biden’s team raised hopes of the U.S. return to the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, or Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), early in his presidency. As a result, expectations of the sanctions relief and impending diplomatic breakthrough with Iran quickly mounted after President Biden’s victory. However, a closer look at the emerging evidence reveals that the new administration initially intended to return to the JCPOA with a different Iran strategy, one of coercion and pressure. Due to former President Trump’s “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran, the JCPOA was practically dead. It then had to be revived. The article inspects key factors that were successful in changing the Biden administration’s policy towards a more realistic and cooperative approach. However, this delay on Biden’s part was not without consequences and has major implications for relations with Iran, as well as the implementation of the JCPOA.
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审稿时长
14 weeks
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