亚洲及太平洋区域的生育率转变和人口老龄化。

B. Gubhaju
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引用次数: 16

摘要

本文概述了亚洲和太平洋地区生育率转型背景下的人口老龄化问题。报告以低生育率国家为重点,强调了低生育率对老龄化进程的影响。人口老龄化的指标,如年龄结构的变化,潜在赡养比和老年人口的女性化,以更好地了解整体情况。由于该区域拥有全球60%以上的人口,而且生育率一直在迅速下降,因此老年人口的绝对规模引起了重大关切。虽然总体人口增长率一直在下降,但老年人的人数却在以更快的速度增长。除了老年人人数的增加之外,出生时预期寿命改善方面的性别差异可能会导致老年群体中女性年龄的百分比高得多,特别是在80岁及以上年龄组中。因此,该区域各国必须认识到老龄化问题的重要性,并开始制订老年人政策,因为政府的老年养恤金计划需要几十年的时间才能成熟和全面运作。
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Fertility transition and population ageing in the Asian and Pacific region.
This paper provides a general overview of population ageing in the context of fertility transition in Asia and the Pacific. Focusing on low-fertility countries it highlights the implications of low fertility for the ageing process. Indicators of population ageing such as changes in age structure potential support ratio and the feminization of the elderly population are presented to provide a better understanding of the overall situation. As the region is home to over 60 per cent of the global population and has been experiencing a rapid decline in fertility the absolute size of the older population is a cause for major concern. While the overall population growth rate has been declining over time the number of older persons is increasing at a faster rate. In addition to the increase in the number of older persons gender disparity in improvements in life expectancy at birth is likely to result in a much higher percent age of females in the older age groups particularly in the age group 80 years and older. It is therefore important for countries in the region to recognize the significance of ageing problems and to start formulating policies for the elderly given that it takes several decades for Government old-age pension schemes to mature and to operate at full scale.
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