发展中国家执行贸易和发展战略的最新趋势

A. Popova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

21世纪的全球化同任何深刻的社会进程一样,既带来新的机遇,也带来新的风险。帮助各国克服持续的经济不确定性的一个工具是战略规划。尽管科学界仍在争论国家是否应该协调一个国家的经济进程,但在实践中,战略性贸易和经济举措的数量正在不断增长。本文分析了2000年至2015年发展中国家贸易和经济战略设计的趋势,对实施这些举措越来越感兴趣的原因,以及战略文件结构的变化。计算是基于对国际贸易中心和世界银行公布的数据的系统和图形分析。这一分析的结果表明,在2000年代对实施贸易和发展倡议的兴趣日益浓厚之前,世界银行出台了一项旨在减轻贫困国家高负债负担的政策。这项政策要求受益人有一项减贫战略(例如减贫战略文件)。制定减贫战略文件有助于建立和(或)恢复执行这些倡议所需的体制机制,这些机制在1980年代已经丧失。193个联合国成员国通过了2000年至2015年千年发展目标和2015年至2030年可持续发展目标,推动了全球发展目标的推进,推动了战略举措的发展。发展中国家在国际组织的支持下采取的这种主动行动主要集中于解决粮食和营养问题以及改善基本社会服务。它们的成功实施改进了发展中国家现有的规划做法,提高了国家机构的效率。与此同时,最初的积极成果使人们重新相信这些战略计划对一个国家经济发展的有效性。这促使发展中国家有能力在没有第三方组织支持的情况下实施后来的贸易和经济战略,使它们能够自主地在高附加值部门分配资源。然而,尽管在发展中国家作出了种种努力,这些倡议的弱点仍然是行动计划的不完善和缺乏实现既定目标的财政资源。
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Recent trends in the implementation of trade and development strategies in developing countries
Globalization in the 21st century, like any profound process occurring in society, brings both new opportunities and risks. One tool that helps countries overcome continued economic uncertainty is strategic planning. Despite the fact that the scientific community is still debating whether the state should coordinate a country’s economic processes, in practice the number of strategic trade and economic initiatives is constantly growing. This article analyses trends in the design of trade and economic strategies in developing countries from 2000 to 2015, reasons for growing interest in implementing such initiatives, and changes in the structure of strategic documents. Calculations are based on systematic and graphic analyses of data published by the International Trade Centre and the World Bank. The results of this analysis show that increasing interest in implementing trade and development initiatives in the 2000s was preceded by a World Bank policy aimed at alleviating the burden of high-indebted by poor countries. This policy required beneficiaries to have a poverty reduction strategy (e.g. the Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers — PRSP). The development of PRSPs helped to create and/or restore institutional mechanisms needed to implement such initiatives, which had been lost back in the 1980s. The promotion of the global development goals—Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) 2000–2015 and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 2015–2030, adopted by 193 UN member states — served as a trigger for scaling up the development of strategic initiatives. Such initiatives adopted in developing countries, with the support of international organizations, were focused mainly on solving the food and nutrition problems and improving basic social services. Their successful implementation improved existing planning practices and increased the effectiveness of state institutions in developing countries. At the same time, the first positive results returned faith in the effectiveness of these strategic programs for the development of a country’s economy. This created an impulse for the capacity of developing countries to implement later trade and economic strategies without the support of third organizations, giving them the autonomy to allocate resources in high valueadded sectors. Nevertheless, despite all the efforts in developing countries, the weak points of these initiatives remain poor elaboration of action plans and the lack of financial resources to achieve stated objectives.
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1.30
自引率
20.00%
发文量
9
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