俄罗斯在阿富汗的重申:2020年多哈和平协议的影响

I. Begum
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在探讨俄罗斯在阿富汗重新主张的原因,并深入研究其对和平进程的影响。俄罗斯在阿富汗有着根深蒂固的历史。在权力巅峰时期,美国曾派遣军队前往喀布尔保护共产主义政权,但遭到了阿富汗人民的强烈抵制。苏联支持的阿富汗政权和苏联军队试图控制叛乱长达十年之久;最终,美国不得不从阿富汗撤出所有军队。在喀布尔的长期接触使俄罗斯的内部情况恶化,俄罗斯试图阻止他们出现阿富汗的情况。在圣战者政府的短暂时期,以及后来在塔利班统治下*,它对阿富汗伊斯兰武装分子的崛起感到担忧,这对俄罗斯和中亚国家构成了威胁,莫斯科希望在这些国家保持软影响力。9/11事件改变了国际社会的政治方式。本文分析了俄罗斯在反恐战争中支持美国的原因,以及俄罗斯与中亚国家的协调,为美国首次利用前苏联军事基地提供了便利。2007年,俄罗斯重新开放了在喀布尔的大使馆。两年后,它批准了美国总统在阿富汗的新战略,该战略基于增兵、撤军计划以及与温和的塔利班和解*。俄罗斯也形成了多维度的阿富汗政策。克里姆林宫发展了与阿富汗政府的关系,并与塔利班进行了外交接触。一种假设是,由于俄罗斯在阿富汗的强势角色,美国不得不加快和平进程,从而导致所有外国军队从阿富汗撤出。
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Russian Reassertion in Afghanistan: Implications of the Doha Peace Agreement 2020
The research aims to explore the causes of Russian reassertion in Afghanistan and delves into its impact on the peace process. Russia has a deep-rooted history in Afghanistan. At the peak of its power, it sent troops to Kabul to protect the communist regime but faced strong resistance from the Afghan people. The Soviet- backed Afghan regime and the Soviet forces tried to control the insurgency for ten years; eventually, it had to pull back all troops from Afghanistan. The extended engagement in Kabul worsened internal conditions in Russia which attempted to prevent them from the Afghan scenario. During the brief period of the government of Mujahedeen and later, under the rule of the Taliban*, it was concerned by the rise of Islamic militancy in Afghanistan that emerged as a peril for Russia and the Central Asian states where Moscow aspired to maintain a soft influence. The 9/11 incident transformed the political approach of the world community. The paper analyses the reasons for Russian support of the US in the war against terrorism, and Russian coordination with Central Asian states to facilitate the US in utilizing military bases of the former Soviet Union for the first time. Russia re-opened its embassy in Kabul in 2007. After two years, it endorsed a new strategy of the US President in Afghanistan based upon a troop surge, a withdrawal plan, and reconciliation with the moderate Taliban*. Russia also formed a multi-dimensional policy towards Afghanistan. Kremlin developed ties with the Afghan government as well as diplomatic engagement with the Taliban*. A hypothesis is made that due to the assertive Russian role in Afghanistan, the US had to speed up the peace process which resulted in the withdrawal of all foreign troops from Afghanistan.
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