登记失业的退出:个体特征影响的估计

M. Giltman, A. Merzlyakova, Liubov Antosik
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的主题是失业者的个人特征,这决定了从登记失业到各种就业选择或经济不活动的退出速度。这种评估的相关性取决于2019年开始的国家区域就业服务改革。在改革的最初阶段,重要的是要了解通过国家区域就业服务机构雇用哪些公民,哪些公民具有哪些个人特征,以及从事哪些工作。这篇文章展示了国家就业中心已经与哪些人进行了相当有效的合作,以及哪些类别的公民在自己找工作方面仍然更成功。秋明州已成为俄罗斯联邦16个试点项目之一,在这些项目中,向新型国家区域就业服务机构的过渡开始得比俄罗斯大多数地区都早。此外,2019年,向登记失业人员支付福利的制度发生了变化。这就是为什么在我们的研究中,我们参考了秋明地区就业服务中心向本文作者提供的2019年数据。这项工作的目的是评估失业人员的个人特征对登记失业人员居留时间的影响。考虑到个人的性别、年龄和教育异质性以及居住地的差异,对确定失业退出的Kaplan-Meier函数进行了估计。该研究是根据秋明地区2019年就业服务机构提供的数据进行的。结果表明,人力资本水平低(没有受过高等教育)的个人,以及居住在村庄和/或同意临时就业的个人,在就业服务的帮助下最快找到工作。一般来说,那些靠自己找到工作的人会得到更高的职位。资格最低的失业者是最快加入非经济活动人群的。所获得的结果使我们能够得出结论,如果没有形成更多样化的空缺银行,与雇主密切合作以及形成有效的方法来就业具有高水平资格的失业者,就业服务的现代化,增加其在就业中的作用是不可能的。
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Exit from registered unemployment: Estimating the impact of individual characteristics
The subject of this study is the individual characteristics of the unemployed, which determine the speed of exit from registered unemployment to various employment options or economic inactivity. The relevance of such assessments is determined by the reform of the State Regional Employment Services, which began in 2019. In the very beginning of the reform it is important to understand which citizens, with which individual characteristics, are employed through the State Regional Employment Services and for which jobs. The article shows with whom the state employment centers are already working quite effectively, and which categories of citizens are still more successful in finding work on their own. The Tyumen region has become one of 16 pilot subjects of the Russian Federation in which the transition to a new type of the State Regional Employment Service started earlier than in most Russian regions. In addition in 2019 the institution of paying benefits to registered unemployed people has changed. That is why in our study we refer to the data for 2019, kindly provided to the authors of the article by the Employment Service of the Tyumen region. The purpose of this work is to assess the influence of individual characteristics of the unemployed on the duration of stay in the status of a registered unemployed. Estimates of the Kaplan-Meier function to determine the exit from unemployment were carried out for various socio-demographic groups, taking into account gender, age and educational heterogeneity of individuals, as well as differences in their place of residence. The study was carried out on data provided by the employment services of the Tyumen region for 2019. The results showed that individuals with a low level of human capital (without higher education), as well as those who lived in a village and / or agreed to temporary employment, were the fastest to get employed with the help of employment services. Those who found work on their own, as a rule, got employed in higher career positions. The least qualified unemployed are the fastest to join the group of economically inactive people. The obtained results allow us to conclude that the modernization of the employment service, increasing its role in employment is impossible without the formation of a more diverse bank of vacancies, close cooperation with employers and the formation of effective approaches to the employment of unemployed with a high level of qualifications.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
33.30%
发文量
9
期刊介绍: PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION ISSUES is a scientific peer-reviewed journal published by the National Research University High School of Economics (NRU HSE).The journal is published quarterly in Russian, and contains original articles by Russian and foreign authors. In addition, a special English language issue containing original articles by Russian and foreign authors has been published since 2014. The editorial board consists of leading Russian and foreign scientists in the field of public administration as well as prominent practitioners. The journal is indexed in the international databases: Scopus, RePEc, EBSCOand the Russian Science Citation Index (RSCI) on the platform of Web of Science. In addition, the journal is on the list of key peer-reviewed scientific journals and publications that the Higher Certification (Attestation) Commission in the RF Education Ministry recommends for publishing the main scientific results of theses for PhD and doctoral degrees in Economics, Sociology and Law. The journal focuses on the following subject areas: − Current theories of public administration. − Theoretical fundamentals of economic and social policy − Factors and Assessment of efficiency in public and municipal administration. − Innovations in the system of public and municipal administration. − Planning and forecasting in the system of public and municipal administration. − Staff of the state and municipal service. Management of personnel in public and municipal bodies and in organizations of the public sectors. − Financial, logistical and information resources of the state and municipalities. − Public service. − Functional features of public sector organizations. − Partnership of the state and municipalities with nongovernmental nonprofit organizations. Economic and administrative challenges facing “third sector.” - Development of education programs on public administration.
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