风险管理和应对策略:菲律宾的气候变化和农业

Majah-Leah V. Ravago, J. Roumasset, K. Jandoc
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文试图探索使用经合组织多维国家审查(MDCR)框架来理解菲律宾的长期发展历史。MDCR承认各国通常追求的发展目标的多样性,因此也承认与之相关的挑战和机遇的多样性。按照将国家发展动态分为经济和非经济因素的传统二分法,本文回顾了历史上的经济记录,并考察了最近的非经济假设。虽然后者主要是政治解释,但它试图将它们与经济结果联系起来,但尽管使用了更严格的方法,但在追踪这种联系的机制方面却很薄弱。论文接着假设,将国家分割成更精细的地理(和政治)实体的长期(政治)行为不利于其可持续的长期(经济)增长。各省的分裂、新省的建立、立法设立更多的国会选区,甚至是最低一级政府的进一步解散,都明显分裂了市场,提高了实际金融和交易成本,增加了政府预算和官僚机构,并给私营部门环境增加了负担。从我国的长期发展历史出发,对这种行为进行了部分实证研究,并提出了相应的政策方向。
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Risk Management and Coping Strategies: Climate Change and Agriculture in the Philippines
This paper attempts to explore the use of an OECD Multi-Dimensional Country Review (MDCR) framework in understanding the long-term development history of the Philippines. The MDCR recognizes the multiplicity of development objectives countries usually pursue and therefore the associated multiplicity of challenges and opportunities. Following a conventional dichotomy of explaining the country’s development dynamics into economic and non-economic factors, the paper reviews the historical economic record and examines more recent non-economic hypotheses. While the latter is mostly political explanations it tries to link them to economic outcomes yet it is weak in tracing the mechanisms of the linkage despite using more rigorous methodologies. The paper then proceeds with hypothesizing that the long-term (political) behavior of breaking the country into finer geographical (and political) entities has been inimical to its sustainable long-term (economic) growth. The splitting of provinces, creation of new ones, of legislating more congressional districts, and further break-up of even the lowest government levels clearly fragment markets, raise real financial and transactions costs, bloat government budgets and the bureaucracy, and add burden to the private sector environment. Partial evidence is explored showing this behavior along the country’s long-term development history and some policy directions are suggested.
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