核政策的社会根源:美国对朝政策的尼布里困境

Q1 Arts and Humanities North Korean Review Pub Date : 2012-04-01 DOI:10.3172/NKR.8.1.117
R. Kim
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The ambiguity continues even today as we see the Obama government switching policy positions off and on.1Why isn't there a consistent solution to the North Korean nuclear crisis? Why are the international (the U.S. in particular) responses to the North's nuclear challenge drifting?Keeping in mind a normative origin of the policy inconsistency, this research delves into the contextual backgrounds of the uneven nuclear non-proliferation policies. Due to the controversial nature of the issues involving the nuclear crisis like sovereignty and national security, the nonproliferation efforts are supposed to call for a choice of only relatively better policy each time without any absolute solution. 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引用次数: 1

摘要

阻止朝鲜核项目的国际努力仍在寻找出路。自1992年朝鲜首次以其核再处理设施震惊世界以来,已经过去了近20年,但此后的多次国际谈判仍未找到有效的威慑手段。比毫无成果的谈判本身更令人困惑的是,国际社会在整个进程中表现出的不确定性。作为世界防扩散共同体的领头羊,美国的政策摇摆不定就是一个明显的例子。在比尔·克林顿(Bill Clinton)和乔治·w·布什(George W. Bush)执政期间,美国的政策在遏制和接触之间摇摆不定。直到今天,当我们看到奥巴马政府的政策立场时断时续时,这种模棱两可的态度仍在继续。1 .为什么朝鲜核危机没有一个一致的解决方案?国际社会(特别是美国)对北韩核问题的反应为何出现了变化?考虑到政策不一致的规范性根源,本研究深入探讨了不平衡的核不扩散政策的背景。由于涉及主权和国家安全等核危机问题的争议性,防扩散工作每次都应该要求选择相对较好的政策,而不是任何绝对的解决方案。借用尼布尔(Reinhold Niebuhr)的见解,北韩核危机是“相对正义”的典型案例,在这种情况下,很难利用明确的行为原则因此,很难获得对政策条件的客观分析,这反过来又使政治精英无法做出理性或制度性的选择。相反,公众对社会底层问题的看法占据了重要地位。具有讽刺意味的是,美国政策不一致的一个社会规范原因,在牢固的核不扩散国际规范中隐约可见。尽管就不惜一切代价阻止核武器扩散的原则达成了坚实的协商一致意见,但在谈判如何执行这一规范的过程中出现的一些技术性分歧,却指导了谈判的进程。运用原则的方法凌驾于原则之上,这是一种讽刺。作为回应,本研究断言,一些建议的政策手段,即使它们在实践中是有效的,也引起了一些与核不扩散准则不相容的基本社会关切。朝鲜危机涉及两种或两种以上相互矛盾的观点。规范冲突产生了政策的不确定性。本研究反思了莱因霍尔德·尼布尔关于国际政治的思想——本质上是相对正义——作为与朝鲜谈判过程中产生的规范性歧义的参考。他的想法有助于确定难以获得持久政策的社会背景。从尼布尔的角度来看,北韩核挑战是一个缺乏绝对正义的典型案例。朝鲜的核冒险虽然不像美国阻止它那样可以接受,但从它的国防主张来看,仍然是可以原谅的。该研究表明,朝鲜的防御担忧有多大,是美国应对核挑战的方向和水平的决定因素,而美国社会尚未达成共识。此外,美国政府内部存在着多种矛盾,而且美国社会内部也存在着理念争论,因此美国的政策也会出现波动。本文运用尼布尔的相对正义理论,从以下几个角度批判性地审视美国对朝核政策。首先,文献综述介绍了相关研究,并指出仍有必要进行规范性考虑。…
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Social Origins of Nuclear Policy: A Niebuhrian Dilemma of the U.S. Policies toward North Korea
IntroductionInternational efforts to stop North Korea's nuclear program are still looking for a way out. Nearly two decades have passed since the North first alarmed the world with its nuclear reprocessing facilities in 1992, but the multiple international negoDepartment tiations ever since have yet to find an effective deterrent. More perplexing than the unfruitful negotiations per se is the indeterminacy that the international community has shown throughout the process. An obvious example is the drifting policies of the U.S., the leader of the world anti-proliferation community. Throughout the administrations of Bill Clinton and George W. Bush, the U.S. policies wildly swung between containment and engagement. The ambiguity continues even today as we see the Obama government switching policy positions off and on.1Why isn't there a consistent solution to the North Korean nuclear crisis? Why are the international (the U.S. in particular) responses to the North's nuclear challenge drifting?Keeping in mind a normative origin of the policy inconsistency, this research delves into the contextual backgrounds of the uneven nuclear non-proliferation policies. Due to the controversial nature of the issues involving the nuclear crisis like sovereignty and national security, the nonproliferation efforts are supposed to call for a choice of only relatively better policy each time without any absolute solution. Borrowing Reinhold Niebuhr's insights, the North Korean nuclear crisis is a typical case of "relative justice" where a definitive behavioral principle is hard to utilize.2 Consequently an objective analysis of policy conditions is rarely available, which in turn makes a rational or institutional choice by political elites out of the question. Instead, the public perception of the issues at the bottom of the society takes its place as the matter of consequence.Ironically a social normative cause of the U.S. policy inconsistency looms large from the solid international norm for nuclear nonproliferation. Despite the solid consensus on the principle of blocking the spread of nuclear weapons at all costs, a few technical differences that rose in the middle of negotiating how to implement the norm have directed the course of negotiation. It is an irony that the methods employed to apply a principle ruled over the principle. As a response, this research asserts that some of the suggested policy means, even if they are efficient in practice, raise several fundamental social concerns that are not compatible with the norm of nuclear nonproliferation. The North Korean crisis involves two or more ideas that stand at odds with each other. The normative conflicts generate the policy indeterminacy.This research reflects on Reinhold Niebuhr's thoughts about international politics-relative justice, in essence-as the reference of normative ambiguity arising from the process of negotiation with North Korea. His ideas are helpful to identify the social context where a durable policy is hard to obtain. The North Korean nuclear challenge, seen from Niebuhr's perspective, is a typical case of lacking an absolute justice to apply. The North's nuclear adventure, though not as acceptable as the U.S. behavior to discourage it, is still excusable from its claim of national defense. To buy how much of the North's defensive concerns, this research suggests, is the determinant of the direction and level of the U.S. reaction to the nuclear challenge, while a consensus has yet to be made in American society. In addition, the U.S. policies are supposed to fluctuate given the fact that several conflicts exist within the U.S. government that involve ideational debates deep in the American society.In this paper, Niebuhr's relative justice is employed to critically review the U.S. nuclear policies toward North Korea angles in the following order. First, the literature review introduces relevant studies and points out that a normative consideration is still necessary. …
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North Korean Review
North Korean Review Arts and Humanities-History
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Staying the course: Denuclearization and path dependence in the US's North Korea policy Editor-in-Chief's Comments Managing Editor's Comments Socio-Economic Change in the DPRK and Korean Security Dilemmas: The Implications for International Policy North Korea and Northeast Asian Regional Security
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