大流行期间的俄罗斯地区:社会经济动态和预算收入

N. Zubarevich
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引用次数: 8

摘要

由于不同指标的动态不一致,很难确定受大流行病危机影响最严重和最不严重的区域。石油开采地区的工业产出降幅更大。联邦城市聚集区、南部娱乐区和北高加索各共和国的服务业下降最为严重。疫情期间各区域劳动力市场的动态在很大程度上取决于体制因素——国家对小企业就业的支持和对失业者的援助。大多数地区的小企业就业没有下降。在最大的聚集区,登记失业人数增长得更快,而从危机中复苏最慢的是欠发达共和国。在2020年第二季度受封城影响人口收入大幅下降之后,区域动态开始逐渐趋同,但没有明显改善。在人口收入和就业方面,莫斯科正以更快的速度从危机中复苏,这得益于其巨大的竞争优势。大流行期间区域预算自身收入的动态与经济结构和利得税在预算收入中的重要性有关。由于利得税大幅下调,石油开采地区在2020年遭受了最大的损失。自2021年以来,由于这项税收增加了三倍,冶金地区的预算收入增长最快。事实证明,第一波大流行期间的封锁并不那么重要,因为2020年第二季度自身收入下降的地区数量是2020年的1.5倍。
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Regions of Russia during a pandemic: Socio-economic dynamics and budget revenues
It is difficult to identify the most and the least affected regions in the pandemic crisis, since the dynamics of different indicators did not coincide. Industrial output decline was deeper in oil-extracting regions. Agglomerations of federal cities, recreation regions of the South and the republics of the North Caucasus had the strongest decline in the service sector. The dynamics of labor markets in the regions during the pandemic strongly depended on institutional factors – state support for employed in small businesses and assistance to the unemployed. Small business employment in most regions did not decline. The level of registered unemployment grew faster in the largest agglomerations, and the slowest emerging from the crisis were the underdeveloped republics. After a strong decline in the population incomes in the 2nd quarter of 2020 due to lockdowns, a gradual convergence of regional dynamics began, but without a noticeable improvement. In terms of population income and employment, Moscow is recovering from the crisis much faster thanks to its huge competitive advantages. The dynamics of own revenues of regional budgets during pandemic is associated with the structure of the economy and the importance of profit tax in the budget revenues. The largest losses in 2020 were experienced by the oil-extracting regions due to a sharp reduction in profit tax. Since 2021, the own revenues of the budgets of metallurgical regions grew the fastest due to a threefold increase in this tax. Lockdowns in the first wave of the pandemic turned out to be less significant because the number of regions with a decline in their own revenues in the 2nd quarter of 2020 was 1,5 times less than in 2020.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
20.00%
发文量
33
期刊介绍: Key Journal''s objectives: bring together economists of different schools of thought across the Russian Federation; strengthen ties between Academy institutes, educational establishments and economic research centers; improve the quality of Russian economic research and education; integrate economic science and education; speed up the integration of Russian economic science in the global mainstream of economic research. The Journal publishes both theoretical and empirical articles, devoted to all aspects of economic science, which are of interest for wide range of specialists. It welcomes high-quality interdisciplinary projects and economic studies employing methodologies from other sciences such as physics, psychology, political science, etc. Special attention is paid to analyses of processes occurring in the Russian economy. Decisions about publishing of articles are based on a double-blind review process. Exceptions are short notes in the section "Hot Topic", which is usually formed by special invitations and after considerations of the Editorial Board. The only criterion to publish is the quality of the work (original approach, significance and substance of findings, clear presentation style). No decision to publish or reject an article will be influenced by the author belonging to whatever public movement or putting forward ideas advocated by whatever political movement. The Journal comes out four times a year, each issue consisting of 12 to 15 press sheets. Now it is published only in Russian. The English translations of the Journal issues are posted on the Journal website as open access resources.
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