{"title":"经济研究中计算机模拟的发展概况","authors":"Т.В. Хамдамов, Журнал Нэа","doi":"10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-10","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The article discusses the evolution of two approaches to using computer simulations in economic research. The first was created by the American mathematician Norbert Wiener, who used the theory of cybernetics as a method of scientific research and cognition. The second, which also began its journey in the period 1944–1955, is based on the writings of John von Neumann, then a consultant to Los Alamos National Laboratory, and his invention of cellular automata. The first section provides an overview of the Wiener path, which became the guiding reference point for the Forrester system dynamics and Orcutt microsimulations. The second section presents the Neumann path, which gave birth to such methods as Monte Carlo and agent-based modeling, which, as a result, through the efforts of G. Epstein and P. Axtel, was transformed into a conceptual approach of artificial life specifically designed for socio-economic experiments. Finally, the third section explores the potential for developing hybrid simulations by combining the methods of the two paths in concern.","PeriodicalId":43676,"journal":{"name":"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.3000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A brief overview of the evolution of computer simulations in economic research\",\"authors\":\"Т.В. Хамдамов, Журнал Нэа\",\"doi\":\"10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-10\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The article discusses the evolution of two approaches to using computer simulations in economic research. The first was created by the American mathematician Norbert Wiener, who used the theory of cybernetics as a method of scientific research and cognition. The second, which also began its journey in the period 1944–1955, is based on the writings of John von Neumann, then a consultant to Los Alamos National Laboratory, and his invention of cellular automata. The first section provides an overview of the Wiener path, which became the guiding reference point for the Forrester system dynamics and Orcutt microsimulations. The second section presents the Neumann path, which gave birth to such methods as Monte Carlo and agent-based modeling, which, as a result, through the efforts of G. Epstein and P. Axtel, was transformed into a conceptual approach of artificial life specifically designed for socio-economic experiments. Finally, the third section explores the potential for developing hybrid simulations by combining the methods of the two paths in concern.\",\"PeriodicalId\":43676,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-10\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-10","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
本文讨论了在经济研究中使用计算机模拟的两种方法的演变。第一个是由美国数学家诺伯特·维纳(Norbert Wiener)创造的,他将控制论理论作为科学研究和认知的一种方法。第二部也始于1944年至1955年,它是基于约翰·冯·诺伊曼(John von Neumann)的著作,他当时是洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室(Los Alamos National Laboratory)的顾问,并发明了细胞自动机。第一部分概述了维纳路径,它成为了Forrester系统动力学和Orcutt微模拟的指导参考点。第二部分介绍了诺伊曼路径,它产生了蒙特卡洛和基于主体的建模等方法,结果,通过G. Epstein和P. Axtel的努力,它被转化为专门为社会经济实验设计的人工生命的概念方法。最后,第三部分探讨了通过结合所关注的两条路径的方法开发混合模拟的潜力。
A brief overview of the evolution of computer simulations in economic research
The article discusses the evolution of two approaches to using computer simulations in economic research. The first was created by the American mathematician Norbert Wiener, who used the theory of cybernetics as a method of scientific research and cognition. The second, which also began its journey in the period 1944–1955, is based on the writings of John von Neumann, then a consultant to Los Alamos National Laboratory, and his invention of cellular automata. The first section provides an overview of the Wiener path, which became the guiding reference point for the Forrester system dynamics and Orcutt microsimulations. The second section presents the Neumann path, which gave birth to such methods as Monte Carlo and agent-based modeling, which, as a result, through the efforts of G. Epstein and P. Axtel, was transformed into a conceptual approach of artificial life specifically designed for socio-economic experiments. Finally, the third section explores the potential for developing hybrid simulations by combining the methods of the two paths in concern.
期刊介绍:
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