俄罗斯失业救济与登记失业持续时间:回归扭结设计

V.K. Kopytok
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引用次数: 0

摘要

失业保险制度是劳动力市场的重要制度之一。失业救济金允许在失业期间平稳消费。此外,领取失业救济金的人可以更有选择性地寻找新的职位,从而找到更合适的资格要求和薪水的工作。然而,慷慨的失业救济金导致找工作的强度降低,登记失业的持续时间增加。最佳UI系统设计能够平衡这些影响。本文基于俄罗斯2019年登记失业的行政微观数据(由俄罗斯联邦劳动和就业部收集),估计失业救济金对登记失业持续时间的因果影响。回归扭结设计和最大UI效益水平被用来确定因果关系。失业保险持续时间相对于平均每日福利的估计弹性为正且显著,其值在0.2至5.3之间,因为规格与其他国家获得的估计相对应。
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Unemployment benefits and duration of registered unemployment in Russia: Regression kink design
The unemployment insurance (UI) system is one of the key labor market institutes. UI benefits allow to smooth consumption during unemployment. Moreover, people receiving UI benefits can search for a new position more selectively, and thus find a job that with more appropriate qualification requirements and salary. Nevertheless, generous UI benefits lead to a decrease in the intensity of job search and an increase in the duration of registered unemployment. The optimal UI system design balances these effects. This paper is based on administrative microdata on registered unemployment in Russia in 2019 (collected by The Federal Service for Labor and Employment of Russia) to estimate the causal effect of UI benefits on the duration of registered unemployment. Regression kink design and the maximum UI benefits levels are exploited to identify the causal effect. Estimated elasticities of UI duration with respect to average daily benefits are positive and significant with values from 0.2 to 5.3 due to specification which corresponds to the estimates obtained for other countries.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
20.00%
发文量
33
期刊介绍: Key Journal''s objectives: bring together economists of different schools of thought across the Russian Federation; strengthen ties between Academy institutes, educational establishments and economic research centers; improve the quality of Russian economic research and education; integrate economic science and education; speed up the integration of Russian economic science in the global mainstream of economic research. The Journal publishes both theoretical and empirical articles, devoted to all aspects of economic science, which are of interest for wide range of specialists. It welcomes high-quality interdisciplinary projects and economic studies employing methodologies from other sciences such as physics, psychology, political science, etc. Special attention is paid to analyses of processes occurring in the Russian economy. Decisions about publishing of articles are based on a double-blind review process. Exceptions are short notes in the section "Hot Topic", which is usually formed by special invitations and after considerations of the Editorial Board. The only criterion to publish is the quality of the work (original approach, significance and substance of findings, clear presentation style). No decision to publish or reject an article will be influenced by the author belonging to whatever public movement or putting forward ideas advocated by whatever political movement. The Journal comes out four times a year, each issue consisting of 12 to 15 press sheets. Now it is published only in Russian. The English translations of the Journal issues are posted on the Journal website as open access resources.
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