宏观经济思想史上的货币供给:内生性的50种阴影

V. Ostapenko, E. A. Buglevsky
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文通过当代对货币供给内生性程度的讨论来考察货币供给概念在经济学中的演变。文章指出,外生货币供给形成模型是宏观经济思想的产物,近几十年来,外生货币供给形成模型在文献中广泛存在,并受到了积极的批评。它的主导地位持续的时间很短,在货币理论的发展过程中,各种形式的内生性更多地归因于货币供给。作者涵盖了十九世纪货币学派和银行学派之间的争论,货币乘数理论的诞生,凯恩斯的立场,货币主义的货币供给观及其后凯恩斯主义者的批评。特别关注主流观点的转变,从真实商业周期学说到新综合的最先进模型。本文强调,货币供给的完全外生性是货币主义方法的一个独特特征,它依赖于货币需求函数稳定性的特定假设。本文表明,基于央行利率目标制而非货币供应量目标制的模型,尽管新凯恩斯主义与后凯恩斯主义的立场有明显的趋同,但两大阵营在内生性机制上仍存在根本性差异。
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Money supply in the history of macroeconomic thought: 50 shades of endogeneity
The paper considers the evolution of the money supply concept in economics through the lens of contemporary discussion on the degree of its endogeneity. It is stated that the model of exogenous money supply formation, widespread in the literature and actively criticized in recent decades, is an artifact of macroeconomic thought. Its dominance lasted a very short time period, and various forms of endogeneity were attributed to money supply much more often in the course of monetary theory development. Authors cover the debates between the currency and banking school in the XIX century, the birth of the theory of money multiplier, Keynes’ position, the monetarist view of money supply and its criticism by Post- Keynesians. Particular attention is paid to the turn in views within the mainstream, from the Real Business Cycles doctrine to state-of-the-art models of the New Synthesis. It is emphasized that the complete exogeneity of money supply is a distinctive feature only of the monetarist approach, which has relied on the specifi c assumption of the stability of money demand function. The paper shows that, despite the visible convergence between the New Keynesian and Post- Keynesian positions, based on the modeling of interest rate targeting rather than money supply targeting by the central bank, fundamental differences still remain between two camps regarding the endogeneity mechanism.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
20.00%
发文量
33
期刊介绍: Key Journal''s objectives: bring together economists of different schools of thought across the Russian Federation; strengthen ties between Academy institutes, educational establishments and economic research centers; improve the quality of Russian economic research and education; integrate economic science and education; speed up the integration of Russian economic science in the global mainstream of economic research. The Journal publishes both theoretical and empirical articles, devoted to all aspects of economic science, which are of interest for wide range of specialists. It welcomes high-quality interdisciplinary projects and economic studies employing methodologies from other sciences such as physics, psychology, political science, etc. Special attention is paid to analyses of processes occurring in the Russian economy. Decisions about publishing of articles are based on a double-blind review process. Exceptions are short notes in the section "Hot Topic", which is usually formed by special invitations and after considerations of the Editorial Board. The only criterion to publish is the quality of the work (original approach, significance and substance of findings, clear presentation style). No decision to publish or reject an article will be influenced by the author belonging to whatever public movement or putting forward ideas advocated by whatever political movement. The Journal comes out four times a year, each issue consisting of 12 to 15 press sheets. Now it is published only in Russian. The English translations of the Journal issues are posted on the Journal website as open access resources.
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