汇款波动与卫生部门绩效:来自尼日利亚的证据

Emmanuel Busuyi Oguntomi, S. Igbinedion
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摘要

在过去三十年中,世界目睹了汇款的空前增长。这一热潮有必要研究其对发展各个方面的潜在影响。尽管人们对汇款的影响越来越感兴趣,但关于汇款波动对健康结果的影响的研究却很少。因此,本研究旨在利用1981年至2018年期间的完全修正普通最小二乘(FMOLS)和误差修正模型(ECM),调查尼日利亚背景下汇款波动率与出生时预期寿命之间的关系。研究结果表明,虽然从长期来看,汇款波动对预期寿命有统计学上显著的负面影响,但在短期内,它是积极的,但不显著。收入、教育状况和公共卫生支出等其他因素也被认为是尼日利亚预期寿命的主要决定因素。鉴于汇款在很大程度上容易受到外部冲击的影响,而且不受受援国决策者的控制,因此应在国内采取相关措施,从长远来看,大大缓解这种波动对预期寿命的负面影响。
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REMITTANCE VOLATILITY AND HEALTH SECTOR PERFORMANCE: EVIDENCE FROM NIGERIA
For the past three decades the world has witnessed an unprecedented rise in remittance. This upsurge has necessitated researches in its potential impacts on the various facets of development. In spite of the surging interest on the impact of remittance, there has been paucity of researches on the impact of remittance volatility on health outcomes. This study therefore seeks to investigate the nexus between remittance volatility and life expectancy at birth within the Nigeria context, utilizing the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) for the period 1981 to 2018. Findings suggest that while remittance volatility has statistically significant negative impact on life expectancy in the long-run, it was however positive but insignificant in the short-run. Other factors such as income, education status and public health expenditure were also found to be major determinants of life expectancy in Nigeria. Given that remittances are largely susceptible to external shocks, and are beyond the control of policy makers in the recipient countries, relevant measures should be put in place in the home front to significantly cushion the negative impact of such fluctuations on life expectancy in the long-run.
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