可持续增长、增长潜力:欧盟潜在增长趋势

IF 0.4 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Public Finance Quarterly-Hungary Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.35551/pfq_2023_1_3
P. Halmai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

从经济学的角度来看,增长理论是可持续性的一个重要维度。一个经济体在结构上的可持续表现,即产出的可持续(均衡)水平,用潜在产出来表示,用增长潜力来表示其可持续动态。在欧盟成员国,潜在增长的主要结构性决定因素是全要素生产率(TFP)的动态。在这方面,整个欧盟的绩效水平和动态差异很大。通过重大结构性改革缩小与主要经济体之间的表现差距,是增强增长潜力的关键因素。本文通过在上述理论框架内进行的定量分析,回顾了欧洲增长潜力的基本相关性。分析增长潜力的决定因素有助于证明不可避免的结构改革和宏观经济调整的合理性,从而有助于发展可持续性的经济理论。
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Sustainable Growth, Growth Potential : Tendencies of Potential Growth in the European Union
In economic terms, growth theory is an essential dimension of sustainability. The structurally sustainable performance of an economy, that is the sustainable (equilibrium) level of output is expressed in terms of potential output, and its sustainable dynamics in terms of growth potential. In the EU Member States the main structural determinant of potential growth is the dynamics of total factor productivity (TFP). In this respect the level and dynamics of performance vary greatly across the EU. Narrowing the performance gaps compared to the leading economies through major structural reforms can be a crucial factor in strengthening the growth potential. This paper reviews the fundamental correlations for Europe’s growth potential based on quantitative analyses carried out within the referred theoretical framework. Analysing the determinants of growth potential can help justify the inevitable structural reforms and macroeconomic adjustments, and can thereby contribute to the development of an economic theory of sustainability.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
40.00%
发文量
30
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