木薯花叶病饱和发病率模型敏感性分析

IF 1.8 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS AIMS Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.3934/math.2023315
S. Sangsawang, U. Humphries, Amir Khan, P. Pongsumpun
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引用次数: 1

摘要

木薯花叶病(CMD)是由白蝇传播的一种病毒引起的。这种疾病可以在木薯生长的任何阶段破坏它,并导致木薯产量下降。本文建立了具有饱和发病率的确定性模型的木薯花叶病流行数学模型。该模型旨在解释病媒对木薯病暴发的影响。首先,利用标准动力学方法对模型进行分析,确定解的行为。我们发现了无病和地方性稳定状态的存在和条件。基本繁殖数(R_0 $)是通过下一代方法获得的,R_0 $有助于评估传染病传播能力。其次,对模型的稳态稳定性进行了分析,得到了该模型在各稳态存在局部稳定和全局稳定的条件。第三,分析灵敏度指标中的阈值数,确定各参数的影响。最后,通过数值模拟验证了理论模型的正确性。它由收敛于稳态和稳态的各种图形表示。
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Sensitivity analysis of cassava mosaic disease with saturation incidence rate model
Cassava mosaic disease (CMD) is caused by a virus transmitted by the whitefly. This disease can destroy cassava at any stage of its growth and it resulted in lower cassava yields. In this paper, we developed a mathematical model for the epidemic of cassava mosaic disease with a deterministic model which has saturation incidence rates. This model aims to explain the effect of vectors on cassava disease outbreaks. First, this model was analyzed using standard dynamic methods to determine the behavior of the solution. We found the existence and condition of disease-free and endemic steady state. The basic reproductive number ($ R_0 $) is obtained by using the next-generation method which $ R_0 $ helps assess the ability to spread infectious diseases. Second, the stability of the steady state was analyzed, then we obtain the condition of existence of local stability and global stability at each steady state of this model. Third, analysis of the sensitivity indices in the threshold number to determine the effect of the various parameters. Finally, the results of the theoretical model were validated by numerical simulations. It is represented by various graphs converging at a steady state and stable.
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来源期刊
AIMS Mathematics
AIMS Mathematics Mathematics-General Mathematics
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
13.60%
发文量
769
审稿时长
90 days
期刊介绍: AIMS Mathematics is an international Open Access journal devoted to publishing peer-reviewed, high quality, original papers in all fields of mathematics. We publish the following article types: original research articles, reviews, editorials, letters, and conference reports.
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