英国央行迈向渐进式货币政策框架的旅程

Eloisa T. Glindro, Marites Oliva
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摘要

本文考察了我国货币政策框架的演变。它始于第二次世界大战后中央银行的建立,当时仍然没有积极的货币政策,因为国家实行固定汇率制度和供应主导的信贷计划。本文描述了20世纪80年代实施货币政策改革所面临的挑战,特别是向“有管理的浮动”汇率制度的转变,以及在放松管制和自由化的背景下采用货币总量目标框架。它进一步讨论了1993年独立的菲律宾中央银行(BSP)成立后货币政策框架和操作的发展,其主要任务是维持价格稳定。它讲述了货币总量目标制框架是如何被修改为最终转向通胀目标制框架的。报告强调了资讯科技的相对成功,并讨论了BSP为进一步加强流动资金管理而采取的创新方法。展望未来,BSP的货币政策框架和操作可能会继续演变,并作为宏观经济稳定的稳定锚。在不确定性增加的情况下,这将以远见、对行动的承诺和从过去吸取有益的教训为指导。
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The BSP’s journey towards a progressive monetary policy framework
This paper examines the evolution of monetary policy framework in the country. It starts the journey with the establishment of the central bank after the Second World War, when there was still no active monetary policy as the country operated on a fixed exchange rate system and supply-led credit programs. The paper describes the challenges with the implementation of monetary policy reforms in the 1980s, particularly the shift to a “managed float” exchange rate system and the adoption of monetary aggregate targeting framework in the context of deregulation and liberalization. It further discusses the development of monetary policy framework and operations, following the creation of an independent Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) in 1993, with the primary mandate of maintaining price stability. It provides a narrative on how the monetary aggregate targeting framework was modified to its eventual shift to an inflation targeting (IT) framework. It highlights the relative success of IT and discusses the innovative approaches undertaken by the BSP to further enhance liquidity management. Moving forward, the BSP’s monetary policy framework and operations will likely continue evolving and serving as steady anchors of macroeconomic stabilization. This will be guided by foresight, commitment to action and helpful lessons from the past, in the context of increased uncertainty.
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