最优储蓄和可持续外债

D. Villanueva, R. Mariano
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文发展并讨论了一个开放经济增长模型。埃德·阿罗边做边学的框架,在这个框架中,工人通过工作经验来学习,从而提高他们的生产率。通过最优控制使跨期消费贴现流最大化,该模型得出国内储蓄率为GDP的18- 22%,这是发展中国家和新兴市场经济体可行的目标。可持续的外债总额占GDP的比例在39%到50%之间。他们提出了储蓄、债务和增长政策。
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Optimal saving and sustainable foreign debt
This paper develops and discusses an open-economy growth model in a modi!ed Arrow learning-by-doing framework, in which workers learn through experience on the job, thereby increasing their productivity. Applying optimal control to maximize the discounted stream of intertemporal consumption, the model yields domestic saving rates of 18-22 percent of GDP, which are feasible targets in developing and emerging market economies. Sustainable gross foreign debt is in the range of 39-50 percent of GDP. Saving, debt, and growth policies are suggested.
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