{"title":"赛马投注策略","authors":"R. M. Phatarford","doi":"10.4225/03/5A13987DE61F0","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we consider the strategies a gambler may employ in situations such as horse races. We assume that the gambler knows which horses have odds which are favourable to him, that he wants to bet in such a way as to have a given positive expectation of win on a race, and that he wishes to minimise the probability of loss of his finite capital. We show that the best strategy is to bet on all the horses whose odds are favourable so as to minimise the probability of loss on a race. We further show that in order to achieve the last objective it is advisable to have a bet on a horse with fair odds, and at times on a horse with unfavourable odds, in addition to a bet on a horse with favourable odds.","PeriodicalId":55455,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research","volume":"1 1","pages":"87-98"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"1999-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Betting Strategies in Horse Races\",\"authors\":\"R. M. Phatarford\",\"doi\":\"10.4225/03/5A13987DE61F0\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In this paper we consider the strategies a gambler may employ in situations such as horse races. We assume that the gambler knows which horses have odds which are favourable to him, that he wants to bet in such a way as to have a given positive expectation of win on a race, and that he wishes to minimise the probability of loss of his finite capital. We show that the best strategy is to bet on all the horses whose odds are favourable so as to minimise the probability of loss on a race. We further show that in order to achieve the last objective it is advisable to have a bet on a horse with fair odds, and at times on a horse with unfavourable odds, in addition to a bet on a horse with favourable odds.\",\"PeriodicalId\":55455,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"87-98\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"1999-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.4225/03/5A13987DE61F0\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.4225/03/5A13987DE61F0","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
In this paper we consider the strategies a gambler may employ in situations such as horse races. We assume that the gambler knows which horses have odds which are favourable to him, that he wants to bet in such a way as to have a given positive expectation of win on a race, and that he wishes to minimise the probability of loss of his finite capital. We show that the best strategy is to bet on all the horses whose odds are favourable so as to minimise the probability of loss on a race. We further show that in order to achieve the last objective it is advisable to have a bet on a horse with fair odds, and at times on a horse with unfavourable odds, in addition to a bet on a horse with favourable odds.
期刊介绍:
The Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR) provides a forum for practitioners, academics and researchers in Operational Research and related fields, within and beyond the Asia-Pacific region.
APJOR will place submissions in one of the following categories: General, Theoretical, OR Practice, Reviewer Survey, OR Education, and Communications (including short articles and letters). Theoretical papers should carry significant methodological developments. Emphasis is on originality, quality and importance, with particular emphasis given to the practical significance of the results. Practical papers, illustrating the application of Operation Research, are of special interest.