类风湿关节炎共病指数(RACI):一种新的类风湿关节炎共病指数的建立和验证

Y. ElMiedany, M. Elgaafary, S. Youssef, Samah Almedany, S. Bahlas, M. Hegazi
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引用次数: 6

摘要

目的:对类风湿关节炎(RA)患者影响最大的合并症进行分类。开发并验证一种前瞻性适用的合并症指数,根据合并症对RA患者进行分类,这可能会影响患者的住院和死亡风险。方法:基于2029例早期RA患者10年监测的临床登记,制定了一个考虑合并症数量和影响的加权指数。采用Logistic和Cox回归分析来估计死亡风险。采用回归系数进行指标评分。采用发明指标的ROC曲线评价该指标的判别能力,并确定不同的截止值,以描绘不同阶段患者的死亡风险。考虑疾病活动参数。结果:共病(18项)与10年死亡风险密切相关,构成ra -共病指数,包括心血管(7项共病)、感染、骨质疏松性骨折、跌倒风险、抑郁/焦虑、功能状态(HAQ >)、糖尿病、类固醇治疗>5 mg、DAS-28 bbb3.2)、肾/肝/肺疾病和肿瘤。考虑合并症数量,采用经调整的合并症相对危险度作为权重,建立加权指数。ROC曲线验证AUC为97%。结论:RA-合并症指数是评估RA患者死亡风险的有效方法。该指数使治疗医生包括合并症的评估和治疗在他们的标准做法。通过前瞻性地识别RA高危患者,可用于识别靶点、预测资源利用、发现降低高成本的潜在靶点。
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Rheumatoid Arthritis Comorbidity Index (RACI): Development and Validation of a New Comorbidity Index for Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients
Objective: Classify comorbidities with greatest impact on Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) patients. Develop and validate a prospectively applicable comorbidity index for classifying RA patients according to their comorbid disorders which might impact alter their hospitalization and mortality risk. Methods: A weighted index which considers the number and impact of comorbid conditions was developed based on clinical registry of a cohort of 2029 patients with early RA monitored over 10-years. Logistic and Cox Regression analyses were implemented to estimate the risk of mortality. Regression coefficients were used to develop the index score. ROC curve for the invented index was used to evaluate the discriminating ability of the index and identify different cutoff values that can delineate patients at different stages for risk of death. Disease activity parameters were considered. Results: Comorbidities (18 conditions) were strongly associated with the 10-year death risk, and composed the RA-comorbidity index, include Cardiovascular (7 comorbidities), infection, osteoporotic fractures, falls risk, Depression/anxiety, functional status (HAQ >2), diabetes mellitus, steroid therapy >5 mg, DAS-28 >3.2), renal/liver/ lung disease and tumors. Considering the comorbidities number, the comorbidities adjusted relative risk were employed as weights to develop a weighted index. Validation using ROC curve revealed AUC of 97%. Conclusion: The RA-comorbidity index is a valid method for assessing risk of death in RA patients. The index enables the treating physician to include comorbidities valuation and treatment in their standard practice. It can be used to identify targets, predict resource utilization, and detect the potential targets for lowering high costs, by prospectively recognizing RA patients at high risk.
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